🇨🇦 Canada 2026 World Cup Win Probability
Live prediction market forecasts for Canada based on real-time Kalshi and Polymarket data. Updated daily.
📊 Canada Market Brief
Canada’s implied probability reflects extreme long-shot status, with expectations focused on competitiveness rather than a realistic path to winning the tournament.
Roster availability has been a notable factor in recent windows. Head coach Jesse Marsch has acknowledged that several of Canada’s most important defenders have been sidelined by injury during the buildup, limiting continuity along the back line, even as Alphonso Davies has returned to action following a serious knee injury. Defensive health remains one of the few roster variables that could influence expectations at the margins.
Market Coverage Notice
Kalshi does not currently offer probability markets for Canada. Check back as market coverage expands closer to the tournament.
Key Stats
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Current Probability
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Current Rank
Awaiting Market Data
Market coverage for Canada coming soon
What's Driving Canada's Odds
Canada's rising profile and pace-driven attack bring optimism despite long-shot odds.
Star power on the wings, highlighted by Alphonso Davies, provides game-breaking potential.
Tournament success depends on midfield control and defensive stability holding up under pressure.
Canada vs Other Top Contenders
Related World Cup Markets
Canada World Cup FAQs
No. Canada has never won the World Cup.
Group stage (most recently in 2022).
Speed, athleticism, and rapid recent program growth.