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🇺🇸 United States – 2026 World Cup Odds & Market Movement

Live prediction market probability based on Kalshi and Polymarket pricing.

📊 United States Market Brief

The United States is priced as a high-variance team with matchup-driven upside rather than sustained title momentum. The market respects athletic potential but remains cautious at the futures level.

There aren't significant recent injury headlines tied to the USMNT's core contributors as of early January, so sentiment is driven more by tactical perception and performance than fitness changes.

$2.8M Volume
🇺🇸
United States3%

Key Stats

3%

Current Probability

0%

30-Day Change

#T-10

Current Rank

What's Driving United States's Odds

  • The host nation's blend of young talent and growing international experience enhances World Cup prospects, led by Christian Pulisic.

  • Home advantage and supportive crowds amplify confidence and tactical freedom.

  • Consistency against elite nations will determine how deep they can go.

United States World Cup FAQs

No. The United States has never won the World Cup.

Quarterfinals in 2002.

Athleticism and growing development systems.