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Uruguay team flag

Uruguay 2026 World Cup Win Probability

Live prediction market forecasts for Uruguay based on real-time Kalshi and Polymarket data. Updated hourly.

📊 Uruguay Market Brief

Uruguay's odds reflect a disciplined tournament profile with defensive identity, seen as difficult to eliminate but not a runaway favorite in most traders' minds.

There's no fresh widely-reported injury news for Uruguay's top roster members in the latest injury compendiums, meaning market sentiment is anchored in tactical reputation more than breakouts in fitness headlines.

Key Stats

1.3%

Current Probability

0

30-Day Change

#17

Current Rank

What's Driving Uruguay's Odds

  • Uruguay's combative, organized style keeps them competitive even against higher-priced teams, with Federico Valverde driving midfield intensity.

  • Solid defensive structure and historical tournament grit aid progression hopes.

  • Reliance on squad familiarity may limit scoring depth against elite opposition.

Uruguay vs Other Top Contenders

Uruguay World Cup FAQs

How many World Cups has Uruguay won?

Uruguay has won two World Cups (1930, 1950).

Why is Uruguay important in World Cup history?

Winner of the first World Cup in 1930.

Who are Uruguay's legends?

Diego Forlán, Luis Suárez, Edinson Cavani.