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MLB 5/4 Preview: Braves Vs. Marlins

<div class="game_preview_section sport_mlb" data-sr_id="38064773" data-sd_id="68652">
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<h2>Braves @ Marlins &#8211; First Pitch: 4:10 p.m.</h2>
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<div>Expected Forecast: Clear Sky, 84°</div>
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<p>Tonight, we&#8217;ve got an intriguing NL East matchup on our hands, with the Miami Marlins taking on the Atlanta Braves. The odds are close with Atlanta at -109 and Miami at -110, showing the respect both teams have earned so far this season. This game is a bit of a head-scratcher for us handicappers, but let&#8217;s break it down.</p>
<h3>Dueling Lefties: Luzardo vs. Dodd</h3>
<p>On the mound for the Marlins, we&#8217;ve got Jesus Luzardo, a lefty who&#8217;s been solid with a 3.96 FIP and a strong 28% strikeout rate. His walk rate is also under 6%, which is impressive. However, there&#8217;s a catch: his weighted on-base percentage (wOBA) is .347 against lefties, coupled with a .250 ISO power number. Against righties, it&#8217;s slightly elevated at .339 with a .198 ISO. Quite the anomaly, right?</p>
<p>Now let&#8217;s look at Dylan Dodd, another lefty with a respectable 3.63 xFIP. His strikeout rate is a measly 14%, and his splits tell another story. Against left-handed batters, he&#8217;s got an astounding .654 wOBA and a .625 ISO. Though it&#8217;s only based on eight at-bats, it&#8217;s still worth noting. Against righties, he has a .397 wOBA.</p>
<h3>Searching for Value</h3>
<p>We&#8217;re scratching our heads trying to find the value in this matchup. With both pitchers showing strong xFIP numbers but poor wOBA stats, it&#8217;s tough to determine which way this game will go. And with such tight moneyline odds, it&#8217;s like flipping a coin.</p>
<h3>Keep an Eye on the Total</h3>
<p>One interesting tidbit to consider is Miami&#8217;s penchant for low-scoring games at home. They rank second in the league for under bets in their own ballpark, with over 75% of their home games going under the total. Tonight&#8217;s total is set at 8.5, so it might be worth keeping an eye on that as you place your bets.</p>
<p>This Marlins-Braves showdown is a tough one to call, but it&#8217;s sure to be an exciting game to watch. Whether you&#8217;re betting on the moneyline or looking at the total, there&#8217;s plenty of intrigue in this NL East battle.</p>
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<div class="game_preview_section sport_mlb" data-sr_id="38064773" data-sd_id="68652">
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<h2>Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:</h2>
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<div>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th width="150px"> </th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Spread</th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Total</th>
<th width="100px">Moneyline</th>
<th width="100px"> </th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Braves</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">-1.5 </td>
<td align="right">+137 </td>
<td align="right">O 8.5 </td>
<td align="right">-111 </td>
<td align="center">-121</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">+150 </td>
<td align="right">8.5 </td>
<td align="right">-114 </td>
<td align="center">-109</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Marlins</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">+1.5 </td>
<td align="right"> -166 </td>
<td align="right">U 8.5 </td>
<td align="right">-109 </td>
<td align="center">+105</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right"> -181 </td>
<td align="right">8.5 </td>
<td align="right"> -106 </td>
<td align="center">-110</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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<h2>Projected Lineups:</h2>
<h3>Braves</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> Dylan Dodd: 1-1, 7.71 ERA, 5.79 K/9</p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Ronald Acuña Jr.</td>
<td width="180px">  .355, 6 HR, 19 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Matt Olson</td>
<td width="180px">  .246, 8 HR, 25 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Austin Riley</td>
<td width="180px">  .239, 6 HR, 18 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Sean Murphy</td>
<td width="180px">  .289, 8 HR, 23 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Ozzie Albies</td>
<td width="180px">  .275, 9 HR, 26 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> Vaughn Grissom</td>
<td width="180px">  .276, 0 HR, 6 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Marcell Ozuna</td>
<td width="180px">  .147, 4 HR, 7 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> Eddie Rosario</td>
<td width="180px">  .224, 3 HR, 9 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Kevin Pillar</td>
<td width="180px">  .259, 2 HR, 7 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>Marlins</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> Jesús Luzardo: 2-1, 3.48 ERA, 10.16 K/9</p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> Jon Berti</td>
<td width="180px">  .241, 2 HR, 8 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Jorge Soler</td>
<td width="180px">  .202, 5 HR, 10 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Luis Arraez</td>
<td width="180px">  .432, 1 HR, 12 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Yuli Gurriel</td>
<td width="180px">  .310, 2 HR, 5 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Jean Segura</td>
<td width="180px">  .200, 0 HR, 3 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Garrett Hampson</td>
<td width="180px">  .265, 1 HR, 5 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Nick Fortes</td>
<td width="180px">  .222, 1 HR, 5 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> Bryan De La Cruz</td>
<td width="180px">  .250, 2 HR, 9 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Peyton Burdick</td>
<td width="180px">  .000, 0 HR, 0 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div>
<h2>Betting Insights:</h2>
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<h3>Braves</h3>
<ul>
<li>The Atlanta Braves are 11-3 (.786) on the road as a favorite in 2023</li>
<li>The over hit in 2 of the Atlanta Braves last 5 games on the road in 2023</li>
</ul>
<h3>Marlins</h3>
<ul>
<li>The over hit in 5 of the Miami Marlins last 18 games at home in 2023</li>
<li>The Miami Marlins are 3-2 (.600) at home as an underdog in their last five games in 2023</li>
</ul>
</div>


Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

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In a game almost too close to call, there is plenty of data worth considering when Atlanta wraps up their series with the Marlins.

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