UFC Louisville: Cannonier vs. Imavov Preview & Best Bets
Tyler Mason
Host · Writer
A middleweight bout headlines UFC Louisville as No. 4 ranked Jared “Tha Killa Gorilla" Cannonier takes on No. 7 ranked Nassourdine “The Sniper" Imavov.
- Date: Saturday, June 8, 2024 | Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Louisville, Kentucky, United States | TV: ESPN
Soncora vs. Sexi Mexi
Unranked bantamweights John “Sexi Mexi" Castaneda and Daniel “Soncora" Marcos will be opposite each other in the cage. Castaneda has won two in a row and four of his last five. Marcos is undefeated, sitting at 15-0 with one no-contest.
Marcos is one inch taller, but Castaneda has a two-inch reach advantage. Both fighters have similar knockdown rates, but Marcos lands 0.96 more significant strikes per minute while absorbing 0.99 fewer. Castaneda has a much higher takedown rate, but Marcos has excellent takedown defense.
The odds are pretty even, and the fight should be pretty even, but Marcos is the play here at -120.
Loser Leaves Town Match
No. 15-ranked light heavyweight Dominick “The Devastator" Reyes faces the unranked Dustin “The Hanyak" Jacoby. Reyes has lost four straight since knocking out Chris Weidman in 2019 and hasn’t fought since November 2022. Jacoby hasn’t fair much better recently, losing three of his last four.
Reyes is one inch taller and has a one-inch reach advantage. Reyes has more one-punch power, knocking down opponents 0.71 times per 15 minutes. However, Jacoby lands 0.78 more significant strikes per minute. Both men have the same takedown average, but Reyes has superior takedown defense.
Reyes is an excellent athlete who has fought among the best in the division over his last four bouts. However, Reyes will be shaking off ring rust and had his bell rung in his previous three fights. Take Jacoby by KO/TKO at +125.
Middleweight Main Event
Jared Cannonier vs. Nassourdine Imavov
- Odds to Win: Cannonier +118 | Imavov -144
- How Will Fight End: KO/TKO +160 | Submission +650 | Decision -145
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes -132 | No +104
The main event features Jared “Tha Killa Gorilla" Cannonier taking on Nassourdine “The Sniper" Imavov. Cannonier has won two in a row, four over his past five, and seven of his past nine. Imavov won his last time out, but it’s been a mixed bag over his last three.
Imavov is four inches taller, but Cannonier has a 2.5-inch reach advantage. Tha Killa Gorilla has the power edge, but both men land significant strikes at a similar rate. Imavov has double the takedown rate and averages 1.49 submissions per 15 minutes, so he’ll have the grappling advantage.
Imavov has more avenues to win, but it’s doubtful he’ll finish Cannonier. Take Imavov to win by decision at +230.
UFC Louisville: Cannonier vs. Imavov Betting Card
- Marcos to win (-120)
- Jacoby by KO/TKO (+125)
- Imavov by decision (+230)
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