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UFC Vegas 105: Emmett vs Murphy | UFC Picks Today, Best Bets

Tyler Mason

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UFC Vegas 105: Emmett vs. Murphy | Betting Card
UFC Vegas 105: Emmett vs. Murphy | Betting Card
- Tavares by decision (+105)
- Brito to win by KO/TKO (+120)
- Murphy to win (-330)
UFC Vegas 105: Emmett vs. Murphy | Fight Card
A featherweight bout headlines UFC Vegas 105 as No. 8-ranked Josh Emmett faces No. 10 Lerone "The Iceman" Murphy.
- Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025 | Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Enterprise, Nevada, United States - UFC Apex | TV: ESPN+
Main Card (ESPN / ESPN+)
- Featherweight: Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy
- Featherweight: Pat Sabatini vs. Joanderson Brito
- Bantamweight: Cortavious Romious vs. Lee Chang-ho
- Middleweight: Brad Tavares vs. Gerald Meerschaert
- Flyweight: Ode' Osbourne vs. Luis Gurule
- Middleweight: Torrez Finney vs. Robert Valentin
Preliminary Card (ESPN / ESPN+)
- Bantamweight: Davey Grant vs. Daniel Santos
- Women's Flyweight: Diana Belbiţă vs. Dione Barbosa
- Welterweight: Rhys McKee vs. Daniel Frunza
- Women's Strawweight: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Istela Nunes
- Bantamweight: Victor Henry vs. Pedro Falcão
- Heavyweight: Martin Buday vs. Uran Satybaldiev
- Women's Strawweight: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Talita Alencar
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Brad Tavares vs Gerald Meerschaert
Unkranked middleweights Brad Tavares and Gerald Meerschaert will go toe-to-toe. Tavares has lost four of his last five, only beating Chris Weidman over that stretch. Meerschaert is 2-3 over his last five, beating Bryan Barberena and Edmen Shahbazyan.

Both men are six-foot-one, but Meerschaert has a 3.5-inch reach advantage. Neither has much knockout power and lands similar significant strikes per minute at 3.43 and 3.1. Meerschaert has a grappling advantage, averaging 1.27 takedowns and 1.52 submissions per 15 minutes. Tavares's 80 percent takedown defense rate might be the most significant statistic between the two. If Tavares fights intelligently, he can keep this fight on the feet and win a point striking battle.

Best Bet: Take Tavares to win by decision +105.
Pat Sabatini vs Joanderson Brito
Unranked featherweights Pat Sabatini and Joanderson Brito will face off. Sabatini has alternated wins and losses over his last four, but had a six-fight win streak before that stretch. Brito is coming off a loss to William Gomis, but has a five-fight win streak before that.

Both men are five-foot-eight, but Brito has a two-inch reach advantage. Brito lands 1.08 more significant strikes per minute, but absorbs 1.23 more. Both are active grapplers, with Sabatini having a slight takedown and submission edge. However, Brito has a 72 percent takedown defense rate, so getting him to the ground and keeping him there will be tough.

Best Bet: Brito has gained half his wins by knockout, so to improve our payout, take him to win by KO/TKO at +120.
Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy
- Odds to Win: Emmett +240 | Murphy -330
  
  How Will Fight End: KO/TKO +150 | Submission +1300 | Decision -170
  
  Will the fight go the distance? Yes -156 | No +122
  
  Forty-year-old Josh Emmett will look to hand Lerone Murphy his first MMA loss. Emmett is coming off a knockout win over Bryce Mitchell and is 10-4 over his UFC career. Murphy is undefeated over 16 fights, his only blemish being a draw with Zubaira Tukhugov.
  
  Murphy is three inches taller and has a 3.5-inch reach advantage. Emmett has a lot of power at featherweight, knocking down opponents 0.99 times per 15 minutes. Both fighters land over four significant strikes per minute, but Murphy absorbs only 2.67 to Emmett's 4.61. Murphy also averages 0.87 more takedowns and 0.47 submissions per 15 minutes.
  
  Best Bet: Murphy has the statistical advantage and is seven years Emmett's junior. Take Murphy to win at -330.
UFC Vegas 105: Emmett vs. Murphy | Betting Card
UFC Vegas 105: Emmett vs. Murphy | Betting Card
- Tavares by decision (+105)
- Brito to win by KO/TKO (+120)
- Murphy to win (-330)
UFC Vegas 105: Emmett vs. Murphy | Fight Card
A featherweight bout headlines UFC Vegas 105 as No. 8-ranked Josh Emmett faces No. 10 Lerone "The Iceman" Murphy.
- Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025 | Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Enterprise, Nevada, United States - UFC Apex | TV: ESPN+
Main Card (ESPN / ESPN+)
- Featherweight: Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy
- Featherweight: Pat Sabatini vs. Joanderson Brito
- Bantamweight: Cortavious Romious vs. Lee Chang-ho
- Middleweight: Brad Tavares vs. Gerald Meerschaert
- Flyweight: Ode' Osbourne vs. Luis Gurule
- Middleweight: Torrez Finney vs. Robert Valentin
Preliminary Card (ESPN / ESPN+)
- Bantamweight: Davey Grant vs. Daniel Santos
- Women's Flyweight: Diana Belbiţă vs. Dione Barbosa
- Welterweight: Rhys McKee vs. Daniel Frunza
- Women's Strawweight: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Istela Nunes
- Bantamweight: Victor Henry vs. Pedro Falcão
- Heavyweight: Martin Buday vs. Uran Satybaldiev
- Women's Strawweight: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Talita Alencar
Have all the intel you need? Free actionable info is one click away! Sign up for our daily newsletter.

UFC Vegas 105: Emmett vs Murphy | UFC Picks Today, Best Bets

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