Baltimore Orioles: Offseason Review and Betting Outlook
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
The Baltimore Orioles had a remarkable season last year but have taken a step back this offseason. The loss of Anthony Santander, arguably their best offensive player, and Corbin Burnes, their frontline ace, raises significant concerns. Without clear replacements, the Orioles face serious questions about their competitiveness in the AL East.
The team is leaning on young talent such as Jackson Holliday, Coby Mayo, and Gunnar Henderson, hoping they take a leap forward. While Henderson and Adley Rutschman have already established themselves, the rest of the lineup remains uncertain. Betting markets currently have the Orioles’ win total set at 88.5, which seems high given their roster uncertainties.
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Orioles’ Weaknesses: Key Betting Considerations
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Lineup Gaps: Losing Santander removes a 40-home-run bat, reducing protection for their young hitters.
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Rotation Concerns: After Grayson Rodriguez, the Orioles lack a proven No. 2 starter. Zach Eflin and Charlie Morton bring experience but come with question marks.
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Tough AL East: The Yankees, Blue Jays, and even the Red Sox have made meaningful additions, making Baltimore’s road more challenging.
Given these factors, betting the under on 88.5 wins might be the smartest play for the Orioles this season.
Ranking MLB Starting Rotations: AL East | AL Central | AL West |
Betting the Orioles’ Strengths: A Bullpen-Driven Approach
Despite concerns, one area where Baltimore excels is the bullpen. Felix Bautista, Andrew Kittredge, Seranthony Domínguez, and Gregory Soto provide one of the most dominant late-inning groups in baseball. Teams with elite bullpens can play seven-inning baseball, making them viable for close-game moneyline bets.
Best Betting Angles:
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Live Betting: If the Orioles have a lead by the seventh inning, consider betting on their moneyline.
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Bullpen Props: Save and hold props for Felix Bautista could be valuable, as he is expected to close many games.
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Unders: With a strong bullpen, unders on total runs in Orioles games may be profitable, especially when facing weak offenses.
MLB Free Agency:
Ranking the Top 10 Remaining MLB Free Agents
Predicting Landing Spots for the Top 10 Players Available in MLB Free Agency
AL East Betting Outlook
The Orioles must compete with an upgraded Yankees squad, a deeper Blue Jays roster, and a Red Sox team that made strategic offseason moves. Given their lack of significant acquisitions, Baltimore’s odds to win the AL East are long, making them a risky futures bet.
Instead, if they make an in-season trade for a top-tier pitcher, betting markets will shift. Keep an eye on midseason acquisitions, as they could alter Baltimore’s trajectory.
Conclusion: Betting Strategy for Orioles’ 2024 Season
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Under 88.5 wins is a smart play given their roster losses and AL East competition.
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Target live bets and bullpen-driven matchups for in-game opportunities.
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Watch for midseason trades before placing any AL East or World Series futures bets.
The Orioles have potential but have taken a step back this offseason. If you’re betting on them, do so strategically by capitalizing on bullpen strength and fading their win total. Stay tuned for midseason adjustments!
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