MLB Player Props (May 7): Bet on These Plus-Money RBI Studs
Grant White
Host · Writer
We’ve got a full slate of MLB action to look forward to on Tuesday, May 7, featuring 15 games and several marquee matchups. We’re running through the SportsGrid MLB Player Props, identifying the pre-eminent plus-money wagers that yield a long-term advantage for bettors.
Francisco Lindor (+125) – To Record an RBI
Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets continue their three-game set versus the St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday night. The Mets snapped out of their mini-slump in the series opener, defeating the Cards 4-3, and Lindor appears determined to make it two in a row.
The Mets shortstop has been a run-producing sensation through the first few days of May. Since the calendar turned, Lindor is 5-for-20 with nine RBI, four runs scored, three doubles, and a home run. Still, when reconciling actual output with expected metrics, Lindor has more room for growth.
The three-time Silver Slugger has a .387 slugging percentage on the season, putting him behind his expected benchmark of .448. Likewise, he remains on the elite end of the spectrum in barrel and hard-hit rates, implying that his torrid pace should continue.
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The Cardinals are stuck in a three-game losing streak and continue to underachieve relative to betting expectations. Sadly, Lindor and the Mets will extend that misery on Tuesday. Lindor presents value in nearly every prop market, but we’re backing him at +125 to drive in at least one run.
Andrew Benintendi (+280) – To Record an RBI
A little over a week ago, the Chicago White Sox swept the downtrodden Tampa Bay Rays, doubling their season win total from three to six. Although they dropped the series opener on Monday night, we expect Andrew Benintendi to help them get back to their winning ways in tonight’s inter-divisional showdown.
He may have cooled off since, but Benintendi raked versus Rays pitching at the end of April. Over the three-game set, the former All-Star went 6-for-13 at the plate, driving in eight and scoring two more. That familiarity will come in handy as he takes on an underwhelming Rays staff.
Zach Eflin is the probable starter for Tuesday’s affair and is off to a rough start in 2024. The soft-throwing righty sits in the bottom half of the league in barrel and hard-hit rates, not fooling anyone with his six-pitch arsenal. So far, he’s inducing a lackluster 23.7% whiff rate, putting him among the bottom 37% of pitchers in the bigs. Likewise, the Rays’ typically stout bullpen has the fifth-worst ERA and ninth-worst WHIP.
Benintendi torched the Rays last week, and he’s poised for a similar result on Tuesday. We’re betting he re-ignites at the plate and is a solid longshot candidate to record an RBI against the Rays.
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