MLB Playoff Futures Betting Trends: Reds, Blue Jays and Red Sox Seeing Action
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
As the 2025 MLB season quickly approaches, betting trends have started to reveal where the public is putting its money. Using BetMGM sportsbook data and performance metrics, we analyze the most bet-on teams to make and miss the playoffs, along with key insights for bettors looking to capitalize on current odds.
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Most Bet Playoff Odds (Tickets)
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Cincinnati Reds
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Cleveland Guardians
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San Diego Padres
These three teams have drawn significant action in the playoff futures market. The Cincinnati Reds, with their young core and improved pitching staff, have become a popular pick. The Cleveland Guardians, boasting one of the best pitching staffs in the AL, are attracting both backers and fade bettors. The San Diego Padres, despite an inconsistent season, remain a public favorite due to their star-studded roster.
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Most Bet Teams to MAKE the Playoffs (Tickets & Handle)
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Reds (+240): Cincinnati’s explosive offense and improved rotation have made them an appealing underdog bet. They ranked in the top ten of baseball in key offensive categories, including walks and stolen bases.
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Red Sox (-150): The Boston Red Sox balanced lineup, strong bullpen and key offseason additions make them a strong postseason candidate. Their ability to win close games could be a factor down the stretch.
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Tigers (+110): The Detroit Tigers resurgence, led by a top-10 pitching staff in 2024 (3.80 ERA, 7th in MLB), has drawn sharp action from bettors looking for a solid value play. Detroit was one of the hottest teams in baseball down the stretch last year.
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Blue Jays (+200) [Handle]: The Toronto Blue Jays offense should be much-improved this season after adding Andres Gimenez and slugger Anthony Santander, but inconsistent pitching has kept them on the bubble. The betting market still favors their upside.
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Mariners (-115) [Handle]: The Seattle Mariners elite pitching staff, which tied for MLB’s best ERA at 3.49 last season, makes them a strong playoff contender despite offensive struggles.
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Most Bet Teams to MISS the Playoffs (Tickets & Handle)
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Guardians (-150): Despite strong betting interest in Cleveland making the playoffs, a significant number of bettors are fading them due to offensive concerns (.238 team batting average, ranked 22nd in MLB).
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Padres (-125): San Diego has the second-most bet handle to miss the playoffs, likely due to their tough division in the NL West.
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Brewers (-130) [Tickets]: The Milwaukee Brewers inconsistent offense has led to skepticism among bettors, even though their pitching staff was a top-five unit in ERA (3.65) last season.
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Athletics (-1000) [Handle]: The Athletics had one of the worst records in the American League last year, making them the most heavily bet team to miss the playoffs. Their -162 run differential confirms their struggles.
MLB Playoffs Betting Trends Takeaways
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Public Money Loves the Reds: Cincinnati’s high-ceiling young roster is drawing significant bets. At +240, they offer strong value if they continue their upward trend.
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Doubts on the Guardians & Padres: Despite preseason expectations, both Cleveland and San Diego are seeing heavy betting action on their failure to make the playoffs.
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Pitching Drives Playoff Contenders: Teams with top-tier pitching staffs—like the Mariners and Guardians—are garnering betting interest, highlighting the importance of run prevention in postseason betting.
With just weeks left in the regular season, the MLB playoff race is heating up. Keeping an eye on these betting trends and team performance metrics can help bettors make informed decisions as odds shift down the stretch.
