Padres’ Manny Machado Remains a Fantasy Baseball Stud in 2025

At 32 years old, Manny Machado remains a key figure in the San Diego Padres lineup, yet he seems to be slipping in fantasy drafts and betting markets. While some may worry about declining batting average and rising strikeout rates, Machado still projects as a consistent power bat with solid counting stats.

If you’re betting on player props, fantasy baseball, or Padres team futures, Machado is a value pick being overlooked—and that’s exactly where smart bettors and fantasy managers should take advantage.

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Why Manny Machado is Still a Fantasy and Betting Asset

Machado has been one of the most durable and productive third basemen in MLB, and while some signs of decline exist, his overall production remains elite.

• Projected 2025 stats: .270 BA, 30 HR, 90 RBI, 8-10 SB
• 32nd overall ADP, making him a steal if he slips past pick 40
• Still hitting in the heart of the Padres lineup between Jackson Merrill, Jake Cronenworth, and Xander Bogaerts
• Elite consistency—averaging 30+ HR and 90+ RBI per season

Machado is a prime example of a player who gets overlooked due to familiarity, making him a steal at his current draft and betting value.

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Machado vs. Other Third Base Options: A Smart Alternative

If you miss out on José Ramírez, Rafael Devers, or Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Machado is arguably the next-best option at third base.

• His power-speed mix (30 HR, 8-10 SB) gives him an edge over power-only third basemen.
• Plays in a pitcher-friendly park, but still posts elite production.
• His spot in the Padres lineup ensures high RBI and run-scoring opportunities.

The third base position lacks depth, making Machado an essential pick if you miss out on the top-tier options.

Swing for the Fences with SportsGrid’s free daily MLB Game Picks and MLB Prop Picks.

Betting Angles for Manny Machado in 2025

1. Player Prop Bets: Home Runs & RBIs

• Machado’s power remains steady, and sportsbooks may set his home run total too low.
• If his home run over/under is set below 28.5, the over is a smart play.
• RBIs should hover around 90, making any prop line below 85 a value bet.

2. Fantasy Draft Value & ADP Watch

• Machado is slipping past his ADP of 32, making him a bargain after pick 40.
• His position scarcity makes him a safer investment than other mid-round power bats.

3. San Diego Padres Team Futures

• The Padres remain competitive with Fernando Tatis Jr., Xander Bogaerts, and a strong core, making their win total over/under a betting opportunity.
• If San Diego’s win total is set near 84, the over could be worth considering, especially if Machado remains a consistent offensive force.

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Final Verdict: Why Betting on Machado is Still a Smart Play

Manny Machado isn’t flashy anymore, but he remains one of the most productive third basemen in baseball. His slipping ADP, overlooked power-speed combo, and lineup security make him an undervalued fantasy and betting asset in 2025.

If he falls too far in drafts, savvy managers should pounce, and bettors should look at player props favoring his consistent production. Don’t let familiarity make you forget how good Machado still is.

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