MLB · 2 months ago

Top 10 MLB World Series Winner Odds Before and After Trade Deadline

Joe Cervenka

Host · Writer

1. Los Angeles Dodgers
Opening Odds: 400

Last Week's Odds: +230

Current Odds: +250

It certainly wasn't their trade deadline moves that landed the Los Angeles Dodgers with the shortest World Series odds in baseball. LA was quiet on the trade front with just a few small depth moves. Alex Call brings elite defense to the outfield, along with plate discipline, while Brock Stewart helps a struggling bullpen that ranks 21st from the seventh and beyond, sporting a 4.20 ERA.

The defending champs have been massive favorites all year, and that didn't change following a stay-put kind of trade deadline.
10. Seattle Mariners
Opening Odds: +2500

Last Week's Odds: +2800

Current Odds: +1800

The Seattle Mariners were aggressive at the trade deadline once again, landing the biggest bat on the market in former Arizona Diamondbacks third baseman Eugenio Suarez. Seattle also picked up Suarez's Arizona teammate Josh Naylor, before they landed the consistent home run threat.

The market clearly reacted to the M's brash moves, seeing their World Series odds shorten to a season-best +1800.

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10. Milwaukee Brewers
Opening Odds: +3500

Last Week's Odds: +2500

Current Odds: +1800

The Milwaukee Brewers had a very quiet deadline day, making just a few small moves. Among them, landing Shelby Miller from the Arizona Diamondbacks is probably the biggest. Along with Miller, Milwaukee picked up teammate Jordan Montgomery, who won't pitch this season after undergoing Tommy John surgery, so the move was merely a financial one. The Brew Crew also added veteran catcher Danny Jansen, who will back up William Contreras.

Despite not having a flashy deadline, the Brew Crew saw their odds shorten significantly. This is likely more a reflection of their recent play, which has them holding the best record in baseball (64-44). Milwaukee sits atop the NL after taking two of three from its biggest division rival, the Chicago Cubs, earlier this week.

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9. San Diego Padres
Opening Odds: +1300

Last Week's Odds: +3500

Current Odds: +1700

The San Diego Padres were one of the busiest teams on deadline day, pulling off five big deals to land eight new players. San Diego's biggest acquisition was former Athletics flamethrower, closer Mason Miller. Along with Miller came teammate JP Sears, a solid lefty starting pitcher. The Friars also landed a pair of bats having career years, picking up Ryan O'Hearn and Ramon Laureano from the Baltimore Orioles.

Maybe their sneaky good move of the deadline was adding starter Nestor Cortes, who was limited to just eight innings this season after a left elbow flexor strain in April. The veteran lefty is expected back soon as he just completed what was to be his final rehab start before returning to the Milwaukee Brewers. Now, the former should slide into San Diego's rotation and get a huge pitcher's park upgrade at Petco.

The Pads have seen their World Series odds nearly cut in half, further proof of the impact of their deadline moves this week.
8. Toronto Blue Jays
Opening Odds: +6000

Last Week's Odds: +2200

Current Odds: +1500

While somewhat quiet, the Toronto Blue Jays may have pulled off the top sleeper deal of deadline day. The Jays picked up former Cy Young winner Shane Bieber, who is very close to returning to the mound following Tommy John. Bieber hasn't pitched since early 2024, but recently tossed 57 pitches in a Double-A rehab start and could join Toronto's rotation in a few weeks.

The Jays also strengthened their bullpen, picking up Louis Varland from the Minnesota Twins and former Baltimore Orioles reliever Seranthony Dominguez.

While a 3.5 game lead atop the AL East and a share of the best record in the American League have something to do with it, Toronto's small but impactful deadline moves certainly factored in lowering its World Series odds.

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7. Chicago Cubs
Opening Odds: +3000

Last Week's Odds: +1000

Current Odds: +1200

The Chicago Cubs could have been much more active at this year's deadline. Chicago made a huge splash trading for slugger Kyle Tucker from the Houston Astros in the offseason, but he's a free agent at year's end, so their window could be small.

Chicago made what can only be classified as depth moves, picking up pitchers Michael Soroka, Taylor Rogers, and Andrew Kittredge, along with utility man Willie Castro.

The underwhelming deadline actually lengthened Chicago's odds, as their top NL competitors improved while they remained near the status quo.

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6. Houston Astros
Opening Odds: +1400

Last Week's Odds: +1100

Current Odds: +1100

The Houston Astros had a successful deadline, most notably reuniting with former shortstop Carlos Correa. Correa waived his no-trade clause to return to where he started, but will now play third base. This fills a massive hole for Houston after losing Isaac Paredes for the season with a torn hamstring.

Houston also made a depth move by acquiring Ramon Urias, and a left-handed bat in former Miami Marlins top prospect Jesus Sanchez, who can play all three outfield positions.

While not a bombastic haul, Houston specifically addressed team needs with their deadline moves. The Stros see their already impressive World Series odds remain the same.
5. Detroit Tigers
Opening Odds: +4000

Last Week's Odds: +650

Current Odds: +950

Leading baseball and then the AL for much of the year, the Detroit Tigers had a so-so trade deadline. While they made a handful of deals, they failed to grab a really impactful player. The Tigers added veteran starting pitchers Charlie Morton and Chris Paddack, while strengthening the pen with Paul Sewald, former Washington Nationals closer Kyle Finnegan, and Rafael Montero.

For a team that went 11-14 in July and watched its lead atop the MLB standings evaporate, Detroit was a little too cool and calm at the deadline. Subsequently, they saw their World Series odds lengthen to +950.
4. Philadelphia Phillies
Opening Odds: +1100

Last Week's Odds: +900

Current Odds: +850

The Philadelphia Phillies didn't do a ton at the deadline, but the move they did make was just what the doctor ordered. Philadelphia's ninth-inning situation has been in flux most of the year, after Jose Alvarado was suspended for 80 games in mid-May following a PED violation. Enter Jhoan Duran. Perhaps the best closer moved at the deadline, the former Minnesota Twins stopper immediately shores up the ninth for Philly.

In addition to Duran, the Phillies added outfield depth by grabbing Harrison Bader, also from Minnesota, but in a separate deal. Bader is a nice pickup with 12 home runs on the year, but it would have been good to see Philadelphia add someone with more pop to an outfield that has been chiefly without it this season.

Around the same spot all year, Philly saw their World Series odds shift slightly following deadline day.
3. New York Yankees
Opening Odds: +800

Last Week's Odds: +1100

Current Odds: +850

The New York Yankees were extremely aggressive and very busy at this year's trade deadline. They made nine deals, including a few big ones. New York strengthened their bullpen by adding former Pittsburgh Pirates closer David Bednar, Camilo Doval, and Jake Bird.

New York also addressed a massive hole at third by adding former Colorado Rockie Ryan McMahon and added infield depth with MLB stolen base leader Jose Caballero from the Tampa Bay Rays.

I don't think the Yankees deserve to be this far ahead of the Toronto Blue Jays (+1500) in World Series odds, seeing as they are 3.5 games behind them, but Vegas clearly likes their deadline dealing.
2. New York Mets
Opening Odds: +1400

Last Week's Odds: +1300

Current Odds: +850

The New York Mets have been a juggernaut all season, but got even stronger following a fantastic deadline. In what has become a trend at the deadline, New York loaded up on bullpen arms. The Amazins added last year's saves leader, Ryan Helsley from the St. Louis Cardinals, to go with lefty RP Gregory Soto, and Tyler Rogers. These moves just fortify the backend of a pen that already features elite closer Edwin Diaz. New York may now have the best bullpen in baseball.

Adding veteran outfielder Cedric Mullins could end up looking like the steal of the deadline. Mullins brings some pop, great speed, and elite defense all over the outfield. It also addresses one of the Mets' top needs heading into the deadline.

Already playing like a World Series contender, New York got better, and the shortening of its odds confirms it.
1. Los Angeles Dodgers
Opening Odds: 400

Last Week's Odds: +230

Current Odds: +250

It certainly wasn't their trade deadline moves that landed the Los Angeles Dodgers with the shortest World Series odds in baseball. LA was quiet on the trade front with just a few small depth moves. Alex Call brings elite defense to the outfield, along with plate discipline, while Brock Stewart helps a struggling bullpen that ranks 21st from the seventh and beyond, sporting a 4.20 ERA.

The defending champs have been massive favorites all year, and that didn't change following a stay-put kind of trade deadline.
10. Seattle Mariners
Opening Odds: +2500

Last Week's Odds: +2800

Current Odds: +1800

The Seattle Mariners were aggressive at the trade deadline once again, landing the biggest bat on the market in former Arizona Diamondbacks third baseman Eugenio Suarez. Seattle also picked up Suarez's Arizona teammate Josh Naylor, before they landed the consistent home run threat.

The market clearly reacted to the M's brash moves, seeing their World Series odds shorten to a season-best +1800.

Swing for the Fences with SportsGrid’s free daily MLB Game Picks and MLB Prop Picks.

Top 10 MLB World Series Winner Odds Before and After Trade Deadline

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