Name: OU vs. Alabama: Epic Showdown with Playoff Implications
Uploaded: 2025-11-15T11:43:12-05:00
Duration: 4 min 51 s
Description: Oklahoma faces Alabama in a key game impacting playoff chances. Both teams seek a win, with the Sooners looking to rally in the standings after recent defeats.

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Oklahoma faces Alabama in a key game impacting playoff chances. Both teams seek a win, with the Sooners looking to rally in the standings after recent defeats.

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OU vs. Alabama: Epic Showdown with Playoff Implications

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What a game we're gonna have on deck here. OU and Alabama. Defense, yes. To the victor go the spoils today, but also, do we have an elimination game, Joe, between both of these teams because the loser has got some ground to make up and needs a lot of help. The winner in prime perspective here to make that college football playoff. Yeah, for Alabama, they can afford a loss, and I don't want to say afford a loss, but they're not in the similar type of situation as Oklahoma. Oklahoma enters this game basically on life. Support picked up a critical victory a couple of weeks ago against Tennessee on the road, 33 to 27. They are battle tested this year, 3-1 straight up in road environments by an average margin of victory, uh, winning by 21.3 points per game. But you have a red hot, Alabama team. After the loss to Florida State, they have won 8 straight, Donnie, by an average margin of victory of 19.2 points per game, 5-0 at home. They've won those games this year and Brian. By 4 touchdowns, 28. 2 points per game. And it's contrast in styles, right? Blue collar mentality out of Oklahoma and their offense, John Mateer methodical at times, not as explosive as Alabama and Ty Simpson, but let's not forget, extra week of prep. You're talking about a front seven in Oklahoma that's only given up 82 rushing yards per game, 2.5 yards per carry, and Alabama still can't run the football consistently. I'm calling for the upset. Oklahoma, uh, outright over Alabama. I think the extra week of prep benefits them. I believe in the tear somehow, some way they strike the upset. Now, you do have the extra week, which we just talked about in the game previous, which does make a big difference. You have two weeks to prepare. You guys should be rested and ready even though you have tough road games that you're going to play. But look at this, Joe. That look ahead line between Oklahoma and Alabama, at least the fan sports book, was 8.5. Like we're at 6.15. We even had some 5s and 5.15s at some outlets here throughout the week. But it seems like we're probably gonna settle and maybe at that 6.5 to 7 range. I don't know if we get the 7 points, but Joe, Oklahoma plays really good defense. Matti the way he started the season, you thought that Oklahoma would be a little bit more offensive. They're not, but that's OK. As long as you're winning football games, you win with defense. I get that. Talk to me about this 45.5 because it hasn't moved much all week, Joe. Yeah, I think an under would favor probably Oklahoma and, uh, and over would favor Alabama, and Alabama typically has struggled in these games. We're an under against Vanderbilt, under against Missouri. I believe they were under against Tennessee. They, they had a 58 5 59 number in those games. So Alabama has been trending to the under in a lot of their games. I think if you're Oklahoma right now, and let's not forget they won 24 to 3 last year against Jalen Milro, shut down completely that offense of Kalin De Boer. They are 5-0 this year. They, every time they hold opponents under 100 yards rushing, they, they win those games. By an average margin of victory of 23 points per game. You look at Alabama only averaging 3.5 yards per carry. They have to get Ty Simpson into long third downs and see if they can win and get off the field to potentially give a short field to John Matteer. In this type of game, Donny, even though the numbers suggest under, I might slightly go over because we're, we're not seeing 50, 51s or 52s in the market. We're seeing 45s. I, I, I think we can in this type of game with everything in the line, I, I would go lean to the over 45.5 in this match. Yeah, we're gonna hit a ton of these games with the props in our number 2 here with Joe, but just, I wanna ask you this question. Ty Simpson's been phenomenal. One of the guys in the leaders in the clubhouse in the odds race to be the Heisman this year. Simpson, 296 pass attempts, Joe, one interception. So I'm gonna give you this simple concept right here you see Ty Simpson 8 to 1 to win, the Heisman there with all his great statistics. If they do not get a turnover for Oklahoma, can they still win this game? And I don't mean fumble. I mean an interception because you said they got heat that pocket up and get him off the spot here. He's only throwing one interception, Joe. You've gotta get turnovers, maybe multiple turnovers. And that's the one thing I think when you look at the turnover margin here, Alabama plus 10 entering this game, Oklahoma minus 5, right? So you have to win the turnover. Battle in this ballgame. To your point, maybe it's a fumble or 3 downs. 3rd down defense for Oklahoma is solid, 33% entering this matchup. So maybe they're not getting, let's say, turnovers, but they're holding Ty Simpson to potentially field goals and not touchdowns. That's an opportunity to potentially steal it. But I will say this, if you're Oklahoma, you need. to ball out today because again, you look at Alabama secondary, they've held basically 10 opponents, 7 opponents, excuse me, Donny, under 200 yards passing. That is the key. Can John Matteer stretch that defense over the top? If he can, they're gonna be live. I think they take a more aggressive approach. They have an experienced quarterback and that's why I'm calling for the upset.

OU vs. Alabama: Epic Showdown with Playoff Implications

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