2024 NFL Fantasy Football QB Rankings and Betting Insights

Understanding Quarterback Play in Fantasy Football

Quarterback play is pivotal in fantasy football. If you understand the quarterback, you understand the offense. A quarterback’s ability to execute directly influences the fantasy value of surrounding players. Let’s dive into the 2024 quarterback rankings and identify the best investments for your fantasy team and betting slips.

Super Flex League Draft Insights: Middle Tier QB Picks

Top Quarterbacks to Watch

Patrick Mahomes: The Safest Bet

Patrick Mahomes is our QB1 for 2024. Despite losing Tyreek Hill and dealing with injuries to Travis Kelce last year, Mahomes threw for 5,200 yards and 41 touchdowns in 2022, following a 4,800-yard season in 2021. Betting markets are setting his over/under for passing yards at 4,200 this year, which seems conservative considering his past performance and current supporting cast. Mahomes is not only a strong fantasy option but also a solid bet for over 4,200 passing yards.

Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts: Dual-Threat Dynamos

Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts are formidable fantasy options due to their rushing capabilities. However, expecting another record-setting year in rushing touchdowns from either may be optimistic. Allen’s value could see a dip with Stefon Diggs’ departure, while Hurts may struggle without Jason Kelce anchoring the offensive line. Despite these concerns, both quarterbacks remain top-tier fantasy picks with high floors due to their rushing stats.

Lamar Jackson: High Risk, High Reward

Lamar Jackson ranks fourth, bringing elite rushing upside and potential for explosive fantasy weeks. His health and consistency are the main concerns, but his ceiling is unmatched when he’s on the field. Betting on Jackson as a top-5 fantasy quarterback is a gamble with significant potential returns.

Anthony Richardson: The Aggressive Upside Play

Anthony Richardson comes in at fifth, an aggressive ranking based on his limited but impressive performance in the games he played fully. His top-five finishes in those games highlight his upside. In single quarterback leagues, taking a shot on Richardson and backing him up with a safer option like Kirk Cousins or Jared Goff could pay off handsomely.

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Middle Tier and Sleeper Picks

Joe Burrow and Dak Prescott: Safe and Steady

Joe Burrow and Dak Prescott offer stability. Burrow’s passing prowess and Prescott’s consistent fantasy production make them solid investments. Both are reliable bets for finishing within the top-10 quarterbacks.

CJ Stroud and Jordan Love: Emerging Talents

CJ Stroud and Jordan Love are emerging talents worth keeping an eye on. Stroud’s potential in a new-look offense and Love’s impressive second half of last season make them intriguing options. Both could provide significant value, especially in deeper leagues.

Kyler Murray: A Late-Round Steal

Kyler Murray, ranking at 10, offers late-round value with his rushing equity. His ability to extend plays with his legs makes him a great late-round pick. Betting on Murray to finish as a top-10 quarterback could be a savvy move.

Brock Purdy and Kirk Cousins: Reliable Backups

Brock Purdy and Kirk Cousins round out our top 12. Purdy’s solid end to last season and Cousins’ consistent production make them reliable backup options in fantasy drafts. They can provide steady performance as QB2s or fill-in starters.

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Betting Tips for Quarterbacks

Wagering on Passing Yards and Touchdowns

When betting on quarterback performance, look for value in passing yards and touchdown over/unders. Patrick Mahomes’ current line at 4,200 yards seems undervalued, making the over a strong bet. Similarly, consider betting on dual-threat quarterbacks like Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts to exceed their rushing touchdown projections if the lines are reasonable.

Betting on MVP Candidates

Quarterbacks often dominate MVP discussions. Betting on Patrick Mahomes, given his track record and supporting cast, is a safe play. For higher odds, consider placing a smaller bet on a breakout candidate like Anthony Richardson if you believe in his upside.

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Conclusion

Understanding quarterback play is crucial for fantasy football success and smart betting. Patrick Mahomes stands out as the safest investment, while players like Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, and Anthony Richardson offer significant upside. Use these insights to guide your fantasy drafts and betting strategies for the 2024 NFL season.

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