NFL · 1 year ago

Bills vs. Dolphins TNF: 5 Favorite Anytime Touchdown Best Bets

Ben DiGiacomo

Host · Writer

Value in Jaylen Waddle (+175)?
Given all the juice in Dolphins' players to find the endzone, seeing Jaylen Waddle priced at +175 almost feels like a relief, but is it worth it? For this to cash, Waddle will have to break loose for a long touchdown, as he isn't a preferred red-zone target for the Dolphins' coaching staff. Still, at +175, I can't blame anyone for taking the value, given that this will likely be a high scoring. I would rather put all my cash behind Tyreek Hill, as he's more of a sure thing.
Lock: Josh Allen (-110)
How long will the sportsbooks keep giving us great prices on Josh Allen to find the endzone? In Week 1, he closed at around -110 against the Arizona Cardinals and ran for two touchdowns. At -110, this should be a high-scoring game where Allen will want to put his team on his back when they're nearing the endzone. At -110, I can't find an argument where you don't bet on him to score a rushing touchdown. Lock it in and forget about it.
Can't Go Wrong: Tyreek Hill (-130)
We wish we were getting a better price on Tyreek Hill to score a touchdown on Thursday night, but we'll take what we can get. Anytime the ball lands in Tyreek's hands, he's capable of running to the endzone, as we saw last week with his 80-yard touchdown reception. I don't want to bet this prop at -130, so I'll parlay him and Josh Allen to score a touchdown at nearly +250 odds.
Fade: James Cook (+165)
The +165 price on James Cook to find the endzone is desirable, but I still struggle to find any value in him. Most glaringly, in the red zone and close to the goal line, the Bills would much rather put the ball in Josh Allen's hands as a runner than give Cook the rock to score. For Cook to cross the goal line, it would have to be where he has to run a 30+ yard touchdown or get a screen pass and trot into the endzone, but at +165, I'd instead put my money elsewhere.
Dolphins Running Back Carosuel
Entering Thursday night, the Dolphins running back room is a mess, so we'll clear the air for you. First, Raheem Mostert has already been ruled out, while De'Von Achane is still a game-time decision. Achane is still priced at -165 to find the endzone, and even if he does play, I don't want to bet him at that price in likely a split backfield given the short week despite all the upside he showed as a receiver with his seven receptions in Week 1. Behind Achane, Jeff Wilson Jr. is listed at -165 to score a touchdown as well, and I can't imagine myself betting on him to score a touchdown at that price.

We can't ignore rookie back Jaylen Wright, who should be in the mix given the injury. Priced at +135 to score a touchdown, Wright didn't even get a touch in Week 1, but as a 2024 third-round pick, they have to use this explosive back eventually. I can't get behind backing Wright still at +135, given that he didn't see any Week 1 action, but I would much rather back him than pay -165 for Achane or Wilson.
Keon Coleman (+240)
Khalil Shakir and Mack Hollins scored receiving touchdowns for the Bills last Sunday. Still, rookie Keon Coleman dominated the WR room in snaps and narrowly led the group in red zone and overall targets. The Bills' offense still needs to be defined, but for now, Coleman appears to be the clear leader for the WR1 role for the rest of the season. Priced at +240 to find the endzone on Thursday night, the value here is immense.
Value in Jaylen Waddle (+175)?
Given all the juice in Dolphins' players to find the endzone, seeing Jaylen Waddle priced at +175 almost feels like a relief, but is it worth it? For this to cash, Waddle will have to break loose for a long touchdown, as he isn't a preferred red-zone target for the Dolphins' coaching staff. Still, at +175, I can't blame anyone for taking the value, given that this will likely be a high scoring. I would rather put all my cash behind Tyreek Hill, as he's more of a sure thing.
Lock: Josh Allen (-110)
How long will the sportsbooks keep giving us great prices on Josh Allen to find the endzone? In Week 1, he closed at around -110 against the Arizona Cardinals and ran for two touchdowns. At -110, this should be a high-scoring game where Allen will want to put his team on his back when they're nearing the endzone. At -110, I can't find an argument where you don't bet on him to score a rushing touchdown. Lock it in and forget about it.

Bills vs. Dolphins TNF: 5 Favorite Anytime Touchdown Best Bets

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