Chiefs vs. Falcons SNF: 5 Favorite Anytime Touchdown Best Bets

Check out SportsGrid’s NFL game picks and NFL Props Picks all Season Long.

• Any Value in Bijan Robinson (-130)?

To be honest, given that Bijan Robinson failed to find the endzone in Week 2, I thought there was a solid chance that we’d be getting him at plus-money to score a touchdown, but I don’t want any part of him at -130 straight up. Likely playing from behind, his receiving upside will be limited as they’ll want to air out downfield more often than not, and Tyler Allgeier receives far too many touches for my liking down by the goal line. I much rather allocate my resources elsewhere on my slate, but I also certainly can’t fault anyone for throwing him in a parlay if you expect the Falcons to win this game.

• Fade: Travis Kelce (+130)

I am trying my best not to overreact to what I’m seeing from Travis Kelce through the first two weeks, but this guy may be cooked. I hope I’m wrong, but he’s felt like Mahomes’ third receiving option in the air behind both Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy, and we can’t discount all the other respectable pass-catchers on the roster. While +130 is undoubtedly a price we’ve rarely seen with Kelce to find the endzone in recent years, I would much rather back Rashee Rice at the same price, as he’s been a much more proven commodity through two weeks.

• Carson Steele (+135)

Carson Steele is set to be the RB1 for the Chiefs on Sunday, with Isiah Pacheco sidelined for the foreseeable future, and this guy is an absolute beast. As an undrafted rookie, Steele stole the spotlight this preseason and made the roster unexpectedly as a hard runner and physical presence. Entering Sunday night, we have no reason not to expect him to be the lead back near the goal line, so at +135, we can’t get enough of this bet.

• Drake London (+210)
  

Drake London had himself a week as he caught the game-winning touchdown on Monday Night Football, and he aims to be the number one target for Kirk Cousins week in and week out. At +210, given that I expect this game to be higher scoring than most, getting this price is desirable for the WR1 of a team that will likely air it about a bunch as they’ll likely be playing from behind. In my mind, this should be more in the +160 range, so I’ll back my perceived extra value here with confidence.

Have all the intel you need? Free actionable info is one click away! Sign up for our daily newsletter, SportsGrid Daily.

• Rashee Rice (+130)

Travis Kelce, you had a good run, but this is Rashee Rice’s show now through the air. By all indications, Rice has taken the role as Mahomes’ most trusted target, and we’ve seen that through two weeks as he’s combined for 15 targets, leading all Chiefs’ pass catchers by a lot. Getting Mahomes’ top target at +130 to find the endzone almost feels too good to be true. 

• Longshot: Jared Wiley (+2200)

I may not have any statistical backing for this longshot bet, but doesn’t it always feel like Andy Reid always draws up a goal-line pass to a random tight end in a primetime game? Like seriously, someone has to run the numbers on this phenomenon. Looking at the tight end room, Travis Kelce is Travis Kelce, and Noah Gray is starting to earn more respect from opposing defenses, leaving us with the little-known Jared Wiley. Listen, the Chiefs spent a fourth-round pick on this guy in the 2024 draft, so they have to use him eventually? He made his first NFL catch last week and fits the mold for the type of guy Andy Reid will target down by the goal line. Plus, at +2200, this is a ridiculous price that’s too hard for me to pass up.

 

 

All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.