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NFL · 10 months ago

Cowboys vs Commanders: NFL Week 12 Prediction, Best Bets & Props

Paul Connor

Host · Writer

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The Washington Commanders (7-4) host the Dallas Cowboys (3-7) on Sunday in Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season.

Tackle the Odds with SportsGrid’s Expert NFL Game Picks and NFL Player Prop Picks.

Washington enters the matchup on a two-game losing streak and needs a win to keep pace with the Philadelphia Eagles (8-2) in the NFC East division. On the other side, Dallas has dropped five straight games and remains reliant on backup quarterback Cooper Rush in the wake of Dak Prescott‘s season-ending hamstring injury.

Here is everything you need to know, along with our top picks and predictions!

Cowboys vs Commanders: Game Information & Where to Watch

  • Spread: Commanders (-10.5) | Moneyline: Commanders (-520) | Total: 44.5
  • Location: Northwest Stadium (Landover, MD)
  • Date & Time: Sunday, Nov. 24 at 1:00 p.m. ET | Where to Watch: FOX (TV), Fubo (live stream)

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Best Bet: Commanders -10.5 (-105)

  • Dallas has failed to cover the +10.5 line in back-to-back weeks, being outscored 68-16 in those contests.
  • The Cowboys are 2-8-0 ATS (20.0 cover%) this season, with an average margin of victory of -10.6.
  • Dallas ranks 31st in scoring defense (29.3 PPG) and 24th in offense (18.7 PPG).
  • Washington is 5-1 ATS (83.3 cover%) when favored this season, with a margin of victory of 10.7.
  • The Commanders boast the NFL’s fourth-best offense, averaging 28.0 points per game.
  • Washington’s defense is allowing just 16.2 PPG at home, which is the fifth-best in the NFL.

Best Prop: WSH RB Brian Robinson Jr. OVER 71.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

  • Robinson should be healthier in his second game back from a hamstring injury and draws a highly favorable matchup against a Cowboys run defense that’s allowing the second most yards per game (151.0).
  • A likely positive game script sets up a sizeable workload for the former Alabama standout.

Prediction

Final Score: Cowboys 14 – Commanders 34

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