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NFL · 1 year ago

Identifying Key WRs Based on the Better Passing Ecosystem

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

When it comes to fantasy football and making informed bets, understanding the offensive ecosystem a player operates within is crucial. This concept is particularly relevant when deciding between two promising wide receivers like Drake London of the Atlanta Falcons and Chris Olave of the New Orleans Saints. While both players have undeniable talent, the environment in which they play can significantly influence their performance and your betting strategy.

Impact of Climate on NFL Players’ Performance & Health

Offensive Ecosystems: Why They Matter

In the Fantasy Black Book, the idea of offensive ecosystems is a key factor in evaluating players. An offensive ecosystem includes the quarterback’s quality, the coaching philosophy, and the surrounding talent that can either enhance or limit a player’s potential. For wide receivers, this means considering the consistency of the quarterback, the competition for targets, and the overall offensive strategy of the team.

The Case for Drake London: Falcons’ Rising Star

Drake London enters the 2024 season as a focal point in the Atlanta Falcons passing attack. With quarterback Kirk Cousins now under center, the Falcons offense has the potential to elevate London’s fantasy value significantly. Cousins has consistently finished as a QB1, and his ability to distribute the ball efficiently should benefit London greatly.

London is likely to see between 135 to 140 targets this season, thanks to limited competition from other pass-catchers like Bijan Robinson and Kyle Pitts. This target share, combined with London’s talent, makes him a strong candidate to exceed expectations in both fantasy football and betting markets. Consider betting on London to surpass 1,000 receiving yards and to be among the top touchdown scorers in the NFC South.

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Chris Olave: Talented but Limited by the Saints’ Ecosystem

Chris Olave is undoubtedly a talented receiver, but his ceiling may be capped by the limitations of the Saints’ offensive ecosystem. With Derek Carr as the quarterback, Olave’s potential might be restricted. Carr has historically finished around QB16 or QB17, which doesn’t inspire confidence in his ability to elevate a receiver to elite status.

While Olave has a solid floor and is a reliable option in PPR leagues, his ceiling is lower compared to London’s. Betting on Olave to surpass his receiving yards total might be riskier, given the uncertainties surrounding the Saints’ offense and Carr’s performance.

Why Drake London Is the Better Bet

When deciding between Drake London and Chris Olave, it’s essential to weigh the offensive ecosystems they operate within. London benefits from a more stable and potentially explosive environment with the Falcons, where he is set to be a primary target. In contrast, Olave’s situation with the Saints presents more questions than answers, particularly with the inconsistent play of Derek Carr.

Betting on London to outperform Olave this season is a smart move, especially if you’re looking for value in fantasy football drafts or player prop bets. London’s potential for a breakout season, combined with a favorable offensive situation, makes him the more appealing option.

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Final Thoughts: Trust the Offensive Ecosystem

In fantasy football and betting, it’s not just about the player’s talent—it’s about the situation they’re in. Drake London’s environment with the Atlanta Falcons offers a higher upside, making him the better bet over Chris Olave. Whether you’re drafting in a fantasy league or placing a bet, keep the offensive ecosystem in mind, and let it guide your decision-making.

Betting Recap:

  • Drake London to surpass 1,000 receiving yards
  • Drake London to be among the top touchdown scorers in the NFC South
  • Chris Olave as a solid PPR option but with lower upside
  • Favoring London in player prop bets over Olave

By understanding the context in which these players operate, you can make smarter decisions that lead to greater success in both fantasy football and betting.

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