Saints vs Packers MNF: 6 Favorite NFL Anytime Touchdown Best Bets

The New Orleans Saints and Green Bay Packers will meet tonight on Monday Night Football, so here are our top touchdown bets for the action and the guys you need to avoid.

How to Approach Josh Jacobs (-290)

At -290, Josh Jacobs is considered a guarantee to find the endzone tonight as he’s scored nine rushing touchdowns across the past five games, but we’ll have to be creative with how we look to bet him tonight to maximize value. He’s worth considering to score twice at +175, but I prefer to bet him to score in the first half, specifically at a -115 price, as he’s done so in four straight games.

Is Kendre Miller Worth the Price (+150)

Alvin Kamara is out, paving the way for Kendre Miller to be the RB1 for the Saints. However, I don’t know how I bet him at just +150 to find the endzone. Interim head coach Darren Rizzi has already stated that the Saints will operate with a “by-committee" approach with Kamara sidelined and that you’ll see Jamaal Williams (+550) and even Jordan Mims (+1900) get touches. Plus, with the Saints being two-touchdown underdogs, what is Miller’s rushing upside? It’s not too high, so I won’t be eager to back him at +150 when every other Saint is priced at +480 or longer to score.

Jayden Reed (+200), Christian Watson (+200), or Romeo Doubs (+220)

The Packers’ wide receiver trio is priced nearly identical, so which guy is the most intelligent guy to back? An argument for any of the three guys can be made as Jayden Reed is the dynamic red-zone threat, Christian Watson is the deep threat, and Romeo Doubs is coming off a two-touchdown game last week. By default, I feel as if Reed is the wisest play as he leads the group in touchdowns on the season, but I also can’t shake the feeling that Watson’s recent uptick in deep-shot attempts will eventually translate to a touchdown.

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Marquez Valdes-Scantling (+480)

At +480, I don’t know how you don’t bet on Marquez Valdes-Scantling to score tonight. I have no idea what to expect from Spencer Rattler, but he’ll be airing it out as the Saints are two-touchdown underdogs. MVS has scored four times in just six games with the Saints since joining them midseason, as the Saints haven’t been afraid to draw up deep shots for him. We can add a little revenge factor as he returns to Lambeau as a former Packer. He’s a must-bet in my book!

Any Green Bay Longshot Value to be Had?

Outside of the Packers’ top three wide receivers and Jacobs, there isn’t much longshot value. Tucker Kraft wouldn’t necessarily be considered a long shot at +240. Still, I’ll look to fade him even despite scoring seven times this season, as the Saints’ defense is one of two units to only allow one touchdown to opposing tight ends. Dontayvion Wicks at +380 wouldn’t be a terrible bet, as you never know what to expect with the Packers’ wide receiver unit. Still, my favorite would be Chris Brooks at +500, given the blowout potential of this game and the Packers’ eagerness not to overwork Jacobs.

Saints Longshot Value

Outside of Miller and Valdes-Scantling, every other member of the Saints is priced at +550 or longer to find the endzone. That means we have to sprinkle a couple of longshot wagers, starting with Jamaal Williams (+550), who will be a factor in some goal-line carries should they become available. Beyond him, we must consider Kevin Austin Jr. (+650), as he’s set to be the WR2 behind MVS tonight. Additionally, I have to look at Cedrick Wilson Jr. at a staggering +1100 price, and Rattler’s only other full start this season, where he made six catches for 57 yards and a touchdown. Plus, in that same game, Mason Tipton (+1100) saw nine targets from Rattler.