NFL · 1 year ago

The 5 Most Overpriced Super Bowl Contenders For 2024

Zack Cook

Host · Writer

San Francisco 49ers
I'm sure I'll get called crazy for this, but I'm fading the reigning NFC winners and Super Bowl LIX favorite San Francisco 49ers at their current +500 price. Maybe there's some recency bias because of what we saw with the Eagles after their run to the Super Bowl, but it's hard to expect the 49ers to get back to the big game again in 2024, let alone win it. The 49ers have been the definition of consistency over the last half-decade, but they can't seem to win the big game. They continue to have one of the strongest rosters in the NFL, but history suggests we should look elsewhere for a team to back to win Super Bowl LIX.
Cincinnati Bengals
I'm still not entirely sure about the Cincinnati Bengals. However, they have some cap space to utilize this offseason, which could change our tune. Joe Burrow is coming off a season-ending injury and hasn't been as durable as many would like. Burrow proved he could take down Patrick Mahomes, but we're not sold on this team having the seventh-shortest odds to capture the Lombardi trophy at +1500. That's a price I'll fade.
Dallas Cowboys
No matter the price tag, would anyone feel good about placing a futures bet on the Dallas Cowboys? It appears this will be head coach Mike McCarthy's last kick of the can with this group, and many will argue that it should have come two seasons ago. The Cowboys are a team that finds success in the regular season but falls short of expectations in the postseason. What makes this upcoming season any different for America's team? The Cowboys hold the fifth-shortest Super Bowl odds in 2024 at +1300, and that's not a price I'd advise getting behind.
Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jacksonville Jaguars were considered a popular Super Bowl pick entering last season. They choked down the stretch and missed the playoffs, leading many to wonder what the ceiling for this group is. Trevor Lawrence has been difficult to read early in his career. He's still considered to have a bright future because of his high draft status and early returns, but we've yet to see him perform as many expected. Until the Jaguars prove more, their +3500 price feels too high.
Philadelphia Eagles
I'm not sure what to do with the Philadelphia Eagles. They fizzled out down the stretch and had a quick exit in the postseason against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I like Kellen Moore's hiring and think he should help this offense get back to the level they had when they played in the Super Bowl two years ago. Still, something feels off about this group, making us shy away from their current price. The Eagles will be a team to keep an eye on this offseason, but for now, I'm comfortable fading their +1700 Super Bowl price.
San Francisco 49ers
I'm sure I'll get called crazy for this, but I'm fading the reigning NFC winners and Super Bowl LIX favorite San Francisco 49ers at their current +500 price. Maybe there's some recency bias because of what we saw with the Eagles after their run to the Super Bowl, but it's hard to expect the 49ers to get back to the big game again in 2024, let alone win it. The 49ers have been the definition of consistency over the last half-decade, but they can't seem to win the big game. They continue to have one of the strongest rosters in the NFL, but history suggests we should look elsewhere for a team to back to win Super Bowl LIX.
Cincinnati Bengals
I'm still not entirely sure about the Cincinnati Bengals. However, they have some cap space to utilize this offseason, which could change our tune. Joe Burrow is coming off a season-ending injury and hasn't been as durable as many would like. Burrow proved he could take down Patrick Mahomes, but we're not sold on this team having the seventh-shortest odds to capture the Lombardi trophy at +1500. That's a price I'll fade.