2025 WNBA MVP Betting Trends: Caitlin Clark, A’ja Wilson or Napheesa Collier?
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
The WNBA MVP race is tight, with multiple superstars making a strong case for the league’s top individual honor. As betting odds shift at BetMGM, the public and sportsbooks are weighing in on which player will take home the trophy. A’ja Wilson, Caitlin Clark, and Napheesa Collier have emerged as the frontrunners, with sportsbooks adjusting their lines based on performance, betting handle, and ticket percentages.
Below, we analyze the latest betting odds, player stats, and trends to determine where the best value lies in the 2024 WNBA MVP race.
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A’ja Wilson – Las Vegas Aces
🏀 Current MVP Odds: +180 (Opened at +200)
📊 2024 Stats: 26.9 PPG, 11.9 RPG, 2.3 APG, 1.8 SPG, 51.8 FG%
📈 Highest Ticket%: 9.5% | Highest Handle%: 6.2%
A’ja Wilson remains the betting favorite to win the WNBA MVP, and for good reason. The Las Vegas Aces superstar was a dominant force on both ends of the court last season, leading the league in scoring (26.9 PPG) while also pulling down nearly 12 rebounds per game. Her efficient shooting (51.8%) and defensive presence (1.8 steals per game) make her the most complete player in the league.
Despite her strong performances, Wilson’s betting handle percentage is relatively low compared to other candidates, indicating that while she is respected as a frontrunner, many bettors are looking for better value elsewhere. However, with her odds slightly shortening from +200 to +180, sportsbooks recognize that she is a serious contender.
🏆 Betting Outlook: The three-time WNBA MVP is the safest pick, but Wilson’s odds offer less value than early in the season. If she maintains her elite production, expect her to remain the favorite.
Caitlin Clark – Indiana Fever
🔥 Current MVP Odds: +240 (Opened at +250)
📊 2024 Stats: 19.2 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 8.4 APG, 1.3 SPG, 41.7 FG%
📈 Highest Ticket%: 49.5% | Highest Handle%: 62.5%
Caitlin Clark is by far the most popular MVP bet among the public. The Indiana Fever star was a game-changer in her rookie season, leading all candidates in assists (8.4 APG) last year while also contributing 19.2 points per game. Her ability to facilitate and score has made her a fan favorite, and sportsbooks have adjusted her odds slightly from +250 to +240.
With an overwhelming 62.5% of the betting handle and nearly half of all MVP tickets placed on her, Clark is the biggest liability for sportsbooks. Her odds could shorten even further if she continues her impressive play and lifts Indiana into playoff contention.
📉 Betting Outlook: Clark has value at +240 but remains a high-risk pick due to her team’s inconsistent performance. However, the market’s confidence in the 2024 WNBA Rookie of the Year is undeniable.
Napheesa Collier – Minnesota Lynx
⚡ Current MVP Odds: +550 (Opened at +650)
📊 2024 Stats: 20.4 PPG, 9.7 RPG, 3.4 APG, 1.9 SPG, 49.2 FG%
📈 Highest Ticket%: 13.0% | Highest Handle%: 15.7%
Napheesa Collier quietly put together an MVP-caliber season in 2024, finishing second in the race last season. Her odds reflect coming off a stellar year, moving from +650 to +550. Collier was dominant on both ends of the court, averaging 20.4 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 3.4 assists while shooting nearly 50% from the field.
Collier doesn’t have the same public betting support as Clark, but her steady production and all-around impact make her a dark-horse candidate. She ranks second in handle percentage (15.7%), indicating that sharp bettors see value in her odds. If the Minnesota Lynx performs well, Collier’s MVP case will strengthen.
📊 Betting Outlook: A strong contender with improving odds. Her MVP case will gain more traction if she keeps up her two-way dominance.
Satou Sabally – Phoenix Mercury
💡 Current MVP Odds: +6000 (Opened at +12500)
📊 Stats: 17.9 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 5.0 APG, 1.3 SPG, 41.8 FG%
📈 Biggest Liability for Sportsbooks
Satou Sabally has seen a massive shift in her MVP odds, moving from a longshot at +12500 to +6000. While she remains a fringe candidate, the fact that she’s one of the biggest liabilities for sportsbooks suggests that sharp bettors believe she has an outside shot.
Her 17.9 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 5.0 assists per game last season demonstrate Sabally’s versatility, but she’ll need to elevate her game even further to enter the top tier of MVP contenders.
📊 Betting Outlook: A longshot with upside. If the Phoenix Mercury makes a strong playoff push, Sabally’s odds could continue to drop.
Final MVP Betting Takeaways
- A’ja Wilson (+180): The most complete player and the favorite, but not the best betting value.
- Caitlin Clark (+240): The public’s favorite pick and sportsbooks’ biggest liability.
- Napheesa Collier (+550): A solid underdog play with strong two-way impact.
- Satou Sabally (+6000): A dark-horse candidate with big odds movement.
📊 Bet Wisely: Keep an eye on team performances and injury updates, as they can shift the MVP landscape in an instant!
