Ben DiGiacomo

Dolphins Clinch 20-13 Victory Over Raiders in Tricky Bout

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Jalen Hurts has had seven rushing touchdowns across the last eight weeks and had three touchdowns against the Chiefs in last year’s Super Bowl. Now you’re giving me this bet at +120? Come on now, take my money.

Jalen Hurts (+120)

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Rashee Rice has four touchdowns this season, tied for the team lead with Travis Kelce, and only has one fewer red-zone targets than Kelce this season. The Eagles secondary has struggled this season, allowing 14 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers. At +200, there is too much value to let it pass by. 

Rashee Rice (+200)

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There is no Dallas Goedert tonight, so without a true backup pass-catching tight end, I expect DeVonta Smith to shoulder most of Goedert’s usual volume. In five games where Goedert missed last season, Smith had at least eight targets in every game. In the Super Bowl, Smith had a seven-catch, 100-yard outing, so knowing there’s a strong chance I get a highly productive game from Smith tonight, there is enough there to bet on him to find the endzone at +230.

DeVonta Smith (+230)

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We know in the NFL there are plenty of narratives, and one thing that’s been on my mind leading up to this game is how Jerick McKinnon made the unselfish play to slide short of the endzone in the Super Bowl to kill the clock instead of etching himself in history by having a touchdown in the Super Bowl. The Chiefs know it, so I expect them to try and make it right for him tonight. He’s had three touchdowns this season, so at +450, I love the price I’m getting.

Jerick McKinnon (+450)

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The Eagles have the league’s best run defense, only allowing 66 yards per game on the ground. Philly is much more beatable through the air, so obviously with Patrick Mahomes, that’s an easy game plan to get behind. I usually love betting on Isiah Pacheco, but at +120, I think there are better bets to make. You can get Hurts at the same price when Hurts has had seven touchdowns across the last eight weeks. 

Fade: Isiah Pacheco (+120)

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If you’ve followed our touchdown props throughout the season, you know I absolutely hate getting negative value on a touchdown prop, but Travis Kelce is one of the few I’d make an exception for. Is it worth it? I say no tonight. Let’s analyze the board. Rashee Rice is +200 and has just as many touchdowns this season with one fewer red-zone target. Andy Reid loves to spread the ball around as ten different players have a touchdown this season, so again, at -125, I can’t find the power to pull the trigger. Plus, Taylor Swift won't be in the building for added comfort.

Is Travis Kelce (-125) Worth It?

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Dallas Goedert is out tonight, so Jack Stoll is expected to be the TE1 tonight, but he’s primarily a blocker. For some real upside, I’m looking to Albert Okwuegbunam who came to Philly right before the season started, so in reality, this past bye week has been his first real chance to sit back and learn the offense. Plus, coming from the Denver Broncos, he has some familiarity with the Chiefs, and last year he had his best game against them as he had three catches and a touchdown. At +1300, why not roll the dice?

Longshot: Albert Okwuegbunam (+1300)

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We have a great matchup tonight between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs, so here are our five favorite touchdown props for you to target.

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