MLB · 4 months ago

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Blue Jays @ Phillies – First Pitch: 6:40 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Broken Clouds, 63°

MLB Preview: Blue Jays vs. Phillies

The Toronto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies square off in what is expected to be an intense match. Toronto’s Alek Manoah takes on the Phillies’ Aaron Nola in a pitching matchup that could go either way, given their recent performances. The Phillies, currently favored at -137, are looking to capitalize on their home advantage, but the Blue Jays have a chance to pull off an upset.

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Blue Jays	+1.5	-177	O 8.5	-112	+108	Open
Blue Jays	+1.5	-172	9	-104	+116	Current
Phillies	-1.5	+150	U 8.5	-108	-129	Open
Phillies	-1.5	+146	9	-116	-137	Current

Projected Lineups:

Blue Jays

Starting Pitcher: Alek Manoah: 1-2, 4.71 ERA, 7.68 K/9

1.	SS	Bo Bichette	.329, 7 HR, 22 RBI
2.	1B	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	.318, 7 HR, 21 RBI
3.	LF	Daulton Varsho	.238, 5 HR, 15 RBI
4.	3B	Matt Chapman	.349, 5 HR, 21 RBI
5.	DH	Brandon Belt	.225, 1 HR, 7 RBI
6.	C	Alejandro Kirk	.256, 2 HR, 11 RBI
7.	RF	Whit Merrifield	.291, 1 HR, 14 RBI
8.	CF	Kevin Kiermaier	.284, 2 HR, 12 RBI
9.	2B	Santiago Espinal	.167, 1 HR, 7 RBI

Phillies

Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola: 2-2, 4.64 ERA, 6.96 K/9

1.	2B	Bryson Stott	.294, 2 HR, 11 RBI
2.	SS	Trea Turner	.264, 4 HR, 9 RBI
3.	DH	Bryce Harper	.368, 1 HR, 1 RBI
4.	RF	Nick Castellanos	.304, 4 HR, 22 RBI
5.	LF	Kyle Schwarber	.188, 8 HR, 16 RBI
6.	C	J.T. Realmuto	.281, 3 HR, 13 RBI
7.	1B	Alec Bohm	.269, 3 HR, 25 RBI
8.	CF	Brandon Marsh	.314, 4 HR, 14 RBI
9.	3B	Edmundo Sosa	.308, 3 HR, 9 RBI

Pitching Matchup: Alek Manoah vs. Aaron Nola

Both Manoah and Nola have been erratic this season, making it a challenging game to predict. Manoah, once considered a powerhouse, is struggling with a high 5.88 xFIP, a solid strikeout rate, and a slightly elevated walk rate. He’s handled right-handed batters well but has stumbled against lefties, with a weighted on-base percentage (wOBA) of .368.

On the other hand, Nola, known for his consistency, has an uncharacteristically high xFIP close to 5.00, a strikeout percentage below 20%, and struggles against left-handed hitters with a wOBA of .358. However, he’s done well against right-handed batters, presenting a challenge for the Blue Jays lineup.

Key Factors and Betting Perspectives

The key to this game lies in the performance of these two pitchers. With their inconsistencies, it’s a coin flip game, with both teams having an equal chance to win. However, considering the hitters’ park, that is, Philadelphia, we could see a high-scoring game if the pitchers continue to struggle.

From a betting perspective, considering the high total, bettors may want to focus on the over. Both teams have shown an ability to hit well, and with the uncertainties surrounding the pitchers, this game could see a lot of runs.

Betting Insights:

Blue Jays

The over hit in 4 of the Toronto Blue Jays last 5 games on the road in 2023
The Toronto Blue Jays are 3-2 (.600) on the road as an underdog in their last five games in 2023

Phillies

The over hit in 3 of the Philadelphia Phillies last 5 games at home in 2023
The Philadelphia Phillies are 2-3 (.400) at home as a favorite in their last five games in 2023

The Phillies are the favorites, but the Blue Jays should not be underestimated. Keep an eye on the performance of both pitchers and consider the over in this potentially high-scoring game. May the best team win!