UFC Vegas 96: Cannonier vs. Borralho Preview & Best Bets
Tyler Mason
Host · Writer
A UFC Middleweight bout headlines UFC Vegas 96 as No. 5 ranked Jared “Tha Killa Gorilla" Cannonier faces off against No. 12 Caio “The Natural" Borralho.
- Date: Saturday, August 24, 2024 | Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States – UFC Apex | TV: ESPN
The Haitian Sensation & the Undefeated
No. 12 ranked welterweight Neil “The Haitian Sensation" Magny takes on Michael Morales. Magny has alternated wins and losses over his last seven fights and is coming off a TKO win over Mike Malott. Morales is undefeated at 16-0, winning four in a row in the UFC.
Magny is three inches taller and has a one-inch reach advantage. Morales will have the power edge, knocking down opponents 0.75 times per 15 minutes. He’s also the more active striker, landing 5.28 significant strikes per minute. Magny looks for the takedown more frequently than Morales but will have to contend with a 91 percent takedown defense rate.
Morales is a massive favorite at -850, so the value is with Magny. However, Morales looks like a legit prospect and will probably take it to the 37-year-old. Magny is durable, so we can increase a payout on Morales by taking the fight to go the distance at -155.
Baby Shark Overkill
No. 9 ranked women’s strawweight Angela “Overkill" Hill faces No. 11 Tabatha “Baby Shark" Ricci. Hill is riding a two-fight win streak, beating Denise Gomes and Luana Pinheiro. Ricci is 1-1 over her last two bouts, both ending in split decisions.
Hill is two inches taller and has a 3.5-inch reach advantage. There’s not much power at women’s strawweight, but Hill will have the edge. She’s also the more active striker, landing 1.1 more significant strikes per minute. Ricci will have the wrestling edge, averaging 2.99 takedowns per 15 minutes.
The odds are pretty even for these two, but Hill is a decade older than Ricci. Take Ricci outright.
UFC Middleweight Main Event
Jared Cannonier vs. Caio Borralho
- Odds to Win: Cannonier +200 | Borralho -265
- How Will Fight End: KO/TKO +180 | Submission +260 | Decision +110
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes +120 | No -152
No. 5 ranked middleweight Jared Cannonier is taking on No .12 Caio Borralho. Cannonier looks to rebound from a TKO loss to Nassourdine Imavov. Borralho is riding a 13-fight win streak, including six in the UFC.
Borralho is two inches taller, but Cannonier has a 2.5-inch reach advantage. Both men have power, but Borralho averages 0.16 more knockdowns per 15 minutes. Cannonier throws at a much higher volume, landing 2.01 more significant strikes per minute. However, he absorbs 2.13 more. Borralho will have the wrestling advantage, averaging 1.99 takedowns per 15 minutes, but Cannonier has never been submitted.
Borralho is a pretty sizable favorite at -265, but Cannonier might be too much for him at this stage of his career. The value is with Cannonier at +200.
UFC Vegas 96: Cannonier vs. Borralho Betting Card
- Magny vs. Morales goes the distance (-155)
- Ricci to win (-118)
- Cannonier to win (+200)
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