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MLB · 1 year ago

Brandon Nimmo is Undervalued in Fantasy & Betting Markets

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

Brandon Nimmo is Undervalued in Fantasy & Betting Markets

Brandon Nimmo’s Consistent On-Base Performance

Brandon Nimmo, a key player for the New York Mets, has established himself as a reliable on-base machine, boasting an impressive .360 on-base percentage (OBP) last season. Despite having achieved higher OBPs in the past, Nimmo’s ability to consistently get on base makes him a valuable asset at the top of the Mets’ order. His average draft position (ADP) of 163 in fantasy drafts underscores a potential undervaluation, especially considering his contribution of 89 runs and 24 home runs in the previous season.

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The Value Proposition of Nimmo in Fantasy

Nimmo’s performance is particularly attractive in head-to-head points formats, where his spike in power last year highlights his growing offensive capabilities. While steals are not a significant part of his game, his potential for a .270-.275 batting average, alongside the likelihood of hitting 20 home runs and scoring 90 runs, presents a compelling case for his selection in fantasy drafts. Compared to players drafted after him, such as Tommy Edman and Steven Kwan, Nimmo offers a more balanced blend of power and on-base ability, making him an appealing late-round target for those seeking outfield talent.

Nimmo’s Development and Role with the Mets

The Mets’ decision to target and sign Nimmo indicates their recognition of his evolving skill set and the crucial role he plays within the team. While the spotlight often shines brighter on teammates like Pete Alonso, Nimmo’s contributions at the top of the order are essential for setting the table for the Mets’ power hitters. His ability to consistently get on base and score runs amplifies the value of other key players in the lineup, making him an integral part of the Mets’ offensive strategy.

The Market’s Slow Response to Nimmo’s Value

Despite his contributions and potential, the fantasy and betting markets have been slow to adjust to Nimmo’s true value. This lag presents a strategic opportunity for savvy fantasy managers and bettors to capitalize on his undervaluation. In On-Base Percentage (OBP) leagues, Nimmo’s skill set becomes even more valuable, further highlighting the discrepancy between his market value and his actual on-field contributions.

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Targeting Nimmo in Drafts

For fantasy baseball participants looking for outfield options in the later rounds, Brandon Nimmo, alongside other underrated players like Riley Greene, should be high on the target list. Nimmo’s blend of on-base ability and emerging power, combined with his role on a competitive Mets team, positions him as a sleeper pick with the potential to deliver significant returns on investment.

Conclusion: A Smart Pick for the Informed Player

Brandon Nimmo represents a prime example of a player whose fantasy and betting market value does not fully reflect his on-field performance and potential. His consistent ability to get on base, combined with a notable increase in power, makes him an undervalued asset in fantasy drafts. For those looking to maximize value in the mid to late rounds, Nimmo offers a compelling option, underscoring the importance of recognizing and capitalizing on market inefficiencies in fantasy baseball and betting strategies.

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