Aaron Civale (TB) – at MIN, at PIT – 36%
Unlike Irvin, Aaron Civale has struggled throughout the season, posting a 5.20 ERA over 14 starts. However, his 3.83 xFIP is somewhat promising, and he has been showing signs of improvement recently. The 29-year-old held the Cubs to just one run on five hits and a walk while striking out six over 5.2 innings this past Wednesday.
Civale has now pitched at least five innings in six consecutive starts, allowing no more than four earned runs in any of them.
Over his last four outings, he has delivered a respectable 3.43 ERA and a 22-to-4 K/BB ratio across 21 innings. This is particularly impressive considering Civale faced the potent Orioles’ offense (5.13 runs per game) in two of those games.
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