MLB · 1 year ago

MLB Betting Guide for July 4: Can Phils Remain Baseball’s Best?

Ben DiGiacomo

Host · Writer

MLB Betting Guide for July 4: Can Phils Remain Baseball’s Best?

All 30 MLB teams are set for action on the fourth of July, so let’s dive into all the fireworks the slate will bring us today.

Kicking off the slate, in the late morning hours, the New York Mets and Washington Nationals will square off in the Nation’s Capital, and soon after, the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates will meet in NL Central action.

Soon after, the New York Yankees hope to avoid being swept at home by the Cincinnati Reds, while the surging Houston Astros find themselves in Canada to face the Toronto Blue Jays.

In Wrigley, the MLB-leading Philadelphia Phillies will look to sweep the Chicago Cubs. Despite the Phillies’ lineup being full of injuries, they keep finding ways to grow their lead in the standings.

In the late afternoon, the Baltimore Orioles and Seattle Mariners will square off in a fun showdown in the Pacific Northwest, followed by the Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants matchup in Georgia to headline the night’s slate.

It should be a great day of baseball, so stay with SportsGrid to be covered on everything that will be thrown at us. Let’s ride!

Swing for the Fences with SportsGrid’s free daily MLB Game Picks and MLB Prop Picks.

MLB Betting Guide for July 4

Tonight’s Headliners: O’s vs. M’s +790 SGP | Garrett Crochet Trade Proposals | Buy or Sell at Trade Deadline? | July 4th Player Props

11:05 p.m ET: New York Mets @ Washington Nationals

Run Line: Mets -1.5 | Moneyline: Mets -112 | Total: 9.5
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Nationals Park (Washington, DC)
Weather Notes: Warm, clear, winds blowing out to center

Starting Pitching Matchup: Jose Quintana (ERA: 4.57; K/9: 7.08) vs. Jake Irvin (ERA: 3.03; K/9: 7.90)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Nationals +1.5 (2.5-Stars) | UNDER 8.5 (5-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Nationals by 0.3 runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Joey Meneses OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +135) | Brandon Nimmo OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +140)

12:35 p.m ET: St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Run Line: Cardinals -1.5 | Moneyline: Cardinals -122 | Total: 9
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)
Weather Notes: Clear, winds blowing out to left

Starting Pitching Matchup: Andre Pallante (ERA: 4.50; K/9: 7.34) vs. Martin Perez (ERA: 5.28; K/9: 7.34)

SportsGrid’s Best Bet: UNDER 9 (1.5-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Cardinals by 0.1 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Andre Pallante OVER 3.5 Ks (5-Stars) | Oneil Cruz OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +130)

1:05 p.m ET: Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees

Run Line: Yankees -1.5 | Moneyline: Yankees -184 | Total: 9
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, NY)
Weather Notes: Clear, winds blowing across from right to left

Starting Pitching Matchup: Frankie Montas (ERA: 4.23; K/9: 7.22) vs. Marcus Stroman (ERA: 3.39; K/9: 6.59)

SportsGrid’s Best Bet: UNDER 8.5 (3-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Yankees by 1.0 Run

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Spencer Steer OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +135) | Marcus Stroman UNDER 4.5 Ks (5-Stars)

1:07 p.m ET: Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays

Run Line: Astros -1.5 | Moneyline: Astros -120 | Total: 8.5
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Rogers Centre (Toronto, ON)
Weather Notes: Dome

Starting Pitching Matchup: Framber Valdez (ERA: 4.11; K/9: 7.17) vs. Chris Bassitt (ERA: 3.24; K/9: 8.41)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Astros -1.5 (4-Stars) | Astros ML (5-Stars) | OVER 8.5 (1-Star)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Astros by 1.6 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Framber Valdez OVER 4.5 Ks (5-Stars) | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +160)

1:10 p.m ET: Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins

Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 | Moneyline: Red Sox -164 | Total: 8
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: loanDepot Park (Miami, FL)
Weather Notes: Dome

Starting Pitching Matchup: Nick Pivetta (ERA: 4.52; K/9: 9.92) vs. Kyle Tyler (ERA: 3.38; K/9: 5.91)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Red Sox -1.5 (5-Stars) | Red Sox ML (5-Stars) | OVER 8 (5-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Red Sox by 2.4 runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Ceddanne Rafaela OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +175) | Kyle Tyler UNDER 3.5 Ks (5-Stars, +104)

1:10 p.m ET: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

Run Line: Guardians -1.5 | Moneyline: Guardians -250 | Total: 8.5
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Progressive Field (Cleveland, OH)
Weather Notes: Clear, winds blowing in from left-center

Starting Pitching Matchup: Jared Shuster (ERA: 3.15; K/9: 5.50) vs. Ben Lively (ERA: 3.03; K/9: 7.70)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: White Sox +1.5 (2-Stars) | White Sox ML (2-Stars, +205) | UNDER 8.5 (2-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Guardians by 1.1 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Andrew Vaughn OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +185) | Jose Ramirez OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +100)

1:10 p.m ET: Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins

Run Line: Twins -1.5 | Moneyline: Twins -190 | Total: 8.5
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Target Field (Minneapolis, MN)
Weather Notes: Chance of storms, postponement possible

Starting Pitching Matchup: Kenta Maeda (ERA: 5.76; K/9: 6.83) vs. Bailey Ober (ERA: 4.30; K/9: 9.41)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: OVER 8.5 (3-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Twins by 1.1 runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Riley Greene OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +165)

2:20 p.m ET: Philadelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs

Run Line: Phillies -1.5 | Moneyline: Phillies -126 | Total: 7.5
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Wrigley Field (Chicago, IL)
Weather Notes: Slight chance of showers, small delay possible.

Starting Pitching Matchup: Cristopher Sanchez (ERA: 2.31; K/9: 7.62) vs. Jameson Taillon (ERA: 3.03; K/9: 7.02)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: OVER 7.5 (5-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Phillies by 0.2 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Alec Bohm OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +135) | Dansby Swanson OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +210)

2:35 p.m ET: San Diego Padres @ Texas Rangers

Run Line: Rangers -1.5 | Moneyline: Rangers -134 | Total: 8
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Globe Life Field (Arlington, TX)
Weather Notes: Dome

Starting Pitching Matchup: Michael King (ERA: 3.89; K/9: 10.78) vs. Max Scherzer (ERA: 1.74; K/9: 6.97)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Padres +1.5 (5-Stars) | Padres ML (5-Stars, +114) | OVER 8 (1.5-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Padres by 1.8 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Manny Machado OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +120) | Max Scherzer OVER 4.5 Ks (5-Stars, +120)

4:07 p.m ET: Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics

Run Line: Angels -1.5 | Moneyline: Angels -102| Total: 8.5
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Oakland Coliseum (Oakland, CA)
Weather Notes: Clear, winds blowing out to right

Starting Pitching Matchup: Roansy Contreras (ERA: 3.82; K/9: 8.45) vs. JP Sears (ERA: 5.00; K/9: 6.20)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Angels ML (2.5-Stars) | UNDER 8.5 (2-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Angels by 0.4 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Taylor Ward OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +170) | JP Sears UNDER 4.5 Ks (5-Stars)

4:10 p.m ET: Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners

Run Line: Orioles -1.5 | Moneyline: Orioles -154 | Total: 7
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: T-Mobile Park (Seattle, WA)
Weather Notes: Dome

Starting Pitching Matchup: Corbin Burnes (ERA: 2.36; K/9: 8.35) vs. Bryce Miller (ERA: 3.88; K/9: 8.41)

SportsGrid’s Best Bet: OVER 7 (2.5-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Orioles by 1.0 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Corbin Burnes UNDER 7.5 Ks (5-Stars) | Cal Raleigh OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +195)

7:20 p.m ET: San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves

Run Line: Braves +1.5 | Moneyline: Braves -116 | Total: 8
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Truist Park (Atlanta, GA)
Weather Notes: Hot, clear, winds blowing in from right

Starting Pitching Matchup: Logan Webb (ERA: 3.13; K/9: 7.77) vs. Charlie Morton (ERA: 3.71; K/9: 9.34)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Braves +1.5 (4.5-Stars) | Braves ML (5-Stars) | OVER 8 (5-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Braves by 1.4 Runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Jorge Soler OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +155) | Austin Riley OVER 0.5 RBIs (5-Stars, +170)

8:10 p.m ET: Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals

Run Line: Rays -1.5 | Moneyline: Rays -130 | Total: 8.5
Where to Watch: MLB.TV | Location: Kauffman Stadium (Kansas City, MO)
Weather Notes: Slight chance for a late start due to showers, but should be good to go.

Starting Pitching Matchup: Zach Eflin (ERA: 3.61; K/9: 7.00) vs. Alec Marsh (ERA: 4.19; K/9: 8.16)

SportsGrid’s Best Bets: Royals +1.5 (2-Stars) | Royals ML (2-Stars, +110) | OVER 8.5 (4-Stars)

SportsGrid’s Predicted Game Outcome: Royals by 0.1 runs

SportsGrid’s Top Props: Zach Eflin OVER 3.5 Ks (5-Stars) | MJ Melendez OVER 0.5 RBIs (4-Stars, +190)