7. Indiana (+3.5) vs. Nebraska
The Indiana Hoosiers are not on the bubble yet, but this game makes the list because it could set up an exciting semifinal showdown between a pair of desperate teams. Ohio State plays Illinois, and if the Buckeyes win, they will be in the semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament and on the verge of securing an improbable at-large berth. The Indiana Hoosiers avenged a pair of regular season losses to Penn State with a dramatic late win over the Nittany Lions and have won five straight contests. They now play another team that has beaten them twice this season: the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Indiana’s early-season close wins over bad teams tanked their metrics, and their candidacy is a long shot. Still, if Indiana beats Nebraska (adding a fourth Quad One win) and then wins the semifinal matchup (a fifth Quad One win), they would be in the Big Ten Championship Game with 21 wins, 11 wins in Quad One and Quad Two and would be riding a seven-game winning streak. It’s something to at least keep an eye on.