Name: College Football Week 13: Game Analysis & Betting Predictions
Uploaded: 2025-11-20T16:05:09-05:00
Duration: 13 min 57 s
Description: Tonight's Louisiana vs. Arkansas State game has a betting line affected by player suspensions on Louisiana's team. Joe and Donnie preview the other top games.

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Texas prepares for a critical matchup, favored vs. Arkansas on Saturday. Donnie and Joe analyze the matchup and take an in-depth look at the betting odds!

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Tonight's Louisiana vs. Arkansas State game has a betting line affected by player suspensions on Louisiana's team. Joe and Donnie preview the other top games.

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College Football Week 13: Game Analysis & Betting Predictions

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James Madison will square off against Washington State in a pivotal Week 13 matchup. Paul Stone joins to preview the action ahead of Saturday afternoon!

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Georgia Tech (6-1), leading the ACC, is a 2.5-point favorite at home against Pittsburgh, looking to impact ACC standings. Check out our preview right here!

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Louisville faces SMU following two defeats, with SMU slightly favored and refreshed from a bye week. Donnie and Joe break down the odds for Saturday afternoon.

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USC faces Oregon in a crucial Big Ten battle, playoff stakes high. USC is favored by 10, with a game total of 59.5. Check out our matchup preview for Saturday!

USC vs. Oregon: Big Ten Showdown with Playoff Implications

Tonight, Louisiana faces Arkansas State with key absences affecting the -2.5 line. Less public betting focus on this midweek game. Check out the odds here!

Louisiana vs. Arkansas State: Game Line and Absentees

Oklahoma's Brent Venables showcases strategic prowess, securing wins against Alabama and Tennessee through a solid defensive performance and crucial turnovers.

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7:30 kickoff. That's between Louisiana and Arkansas State. This line opened up right around that 2.5 price. Not a lot of changes in the marketplace. We see the total 54.5 at the opening numbers, a little bit lower right now live at 53.5. Louisiana, Arkansas State. Football tonight, Joe, what's your spread line here? Oh, Donnie, I had to point this game out because this line makes absolutely no sense. Now, we know that the public doesn't get overly involved in these midweek games, right? You know, the Wednesday, the Tuesday, the Wednesday to Thursday night games. There's not a lot of public money, there's not a lot of big handle at the sports book. And this is case in point, because the public understood what was going on in this game, they would clearly be favoring Arkansas State here. Now, let me, uh, explain to you what's happening. The line on this game. would be reasonable, Donnie, if in fact Louisiana Lafayette didn't have not one, not 2, not 7 players suspended for this game for fighting and 4 of the top 6 defensive backs that they have, including the one All-American quarterback. Flowers, their best DB won't be here for this game, and yet this line continues to sit at Arkansas State at -2.5. Make it make sense, Donnie. Louisiana Lafayette will be playing very shorthanded on that side of the ball come tonight, Donny. How about USC and Oregon Saturday 3:30 kick off a big game in the Big 10 as USC travels to Oregon. This line opened up around a touchdown favorite, Joe, but now we're creeping closer to tens in the marketplace in a 59.5 total. Seems to me, Joe, it's one of those eliminator games that we're going to have 6 and 1 in conference play USC 6 and 1 in conference play, Oregon Ducks, the loser just might be out of the picture altogether in the Big 10 and also in the playoff race. What's your spread line for this one. Well, we wanted to keep an eye on this one. We mentioned it on, uh, Monday, and we wanted to see where the line would go by the time we got a little bit later in the week. And you're right, Donny. I mean, we saw this thing open up 9.5, 58.5. We did see initial Oregon money push this thing up to double digits, but funny thing happened yesterday, Donnie. I am seeing all the tickets. And majority of the money on Oregon, and yet I, I've seen this line go back to where we started at 9.5. So there is a line in the sand here with this number in double digits. Uh, it appears the more. bets are taking the points. Anytime you get to 10, they're hammering it back to 9.5. They'll take the 10 with USC. So I don't know that we're gonna get much more than what you're seeing here, but ultimately, maybe the best way to look at this. Is the total one way or the other because it appears we're probably gonna be getting a few points in this one. How about a game that's going to kick off, Joe, Saturday at noon, a battle of the Miami Hurricane beaters here. Louisville taking on SMU in a line that had SMU over a field goal. Joe, somehow it's 4.5, has now crept down to 2.5 still as a favorite for SMU at home. The total, which is up a little bit, that look ahead 51.5 or so, 53.5 now in the marketplace. Louisville, SMU and the ACC. What's your spread line here, 27 and 3 teams. The best situational spot this week, Donnie comes in this game here where SMU will have extra rest coming off a bye week and Louisville is reeling. I mean, not only, uh, has to travel now back to Texas after back to back losses, but it's got to try to figure out how to reg I don't know how they lost that game, 20 to 19 at the hands of Clemson there, uh, and now they've got, I believe, Kentucky next week. Uh, a rivalry game, of course, coming up, which is huge in the state of Kentucky between those two teams. Not good, but the lookout line in a lot of spots on 3, 3.5 for SMU and we're under a field goal now. So there is a lot of Louisville love in the marketplace thinking that this could be the opportunity for them to get back into it. I, anybody who laid the 3 3.5 early with SMU, you're kind of scratching. In your head going, what is going on here? The spot favors SMU, but Louisville back into a corner here with back to back losses. This is the spot of the week, Donny. College football coming up this weekend. By the way, if you see coming up this weekend, it's been all week long here. It's maybe not the biggest games on the slate that played midweek, but we have a lot of projections to get to. And each and every week they give you that stupid TV show that gives you updates that don't actually matter and they can't answer any questions like, Hey, Miami's got 2 losses and Notre Dame has 2 losses, and Miami went head to head. Why are they below? They can't answer that, scrambles their brain, but if we take a look at the college football projected bracket today, it does have Miami in right now as a placeholder against Ole Miss. And by the way, if you just told me we removed Tulane and put another SEC team in there, Joe, I love this bracket right here. This is a great bracket. Yeah. Well, and listen, I mean, the, the argument that James Madison should be in over Tulane is a legit argument too. But the good news is we got a couple more weeks here, Donny, uh, to let it all sort itself out. But I still don't think they're gonna be able to get over the whole Notre Dame-Miami argument with, you know, the same identical record, only Miami beat Notre Dame, and they could be on the outside looking in. Yeah, that's gonna ruffle a few feathers when it's all said and done. And it should. And again on this topic where I, I, it used to be in the past where, yes, it was if you lost early in the season, you're penalized a lot less than losing late in the season. I understand that. But also you have to understand that like Notre Dame lost to two good football teams open this year. A&M is good. A&M hasn't played anybody either. Miami is a good football team. Miami hasn't played a ton of great football teams either at this point. But when you go back and say the end of the season where Head to head is the ultimate like drawback. Like they're both two losses. They won. I don't care when they lost. You should get a nod up. But you saw them plotting by keep on moving Notre Dame up, say, Well, Notre Dame's like 5 slots ahead. You just can't drop them down with theoretically it's not the place. Now things always tend, Joe, to work themselves out down the stretch like, yeah, we're expecting Miami to win their final two games. Oh no, they lost the pit. Like that's happened in the past. Miami and Notre Dame, who knows what happens to them. But I just look at it like that and say to myself, it'll work itself out. If it doesn't, throw it head to head because if two teams have two losses at major Division 1 schools and one team beat the other, the other team goes, stop the madness at this point. And that means also if Notre Dame have wins over at Alabama and at Georgia and at USC, which again they did beat USC, but if you're looking at that, you're saying, well, yeah, these two teams aren't similar, but Notre Dame had 2. Really good games to start the season and cupcakes all the way after that. We'll see what happens. Let's get to some of the games this weekend, Joe, which includes USC and Oregon, as we talked at the top of the show, going over some spread lines here. 9.5, almost a double digit favorite for Oregon in this game, and I didn't really check yet. Are they getting some help back at wide receiver for Oregon? Because it seems to me if the money's coming in Oregon, they must be getting healthier as well. Well, yeah, they, they are. I mean, they had, they were missing their, uh, their three leading pass catchers, but again, Oregon is a place, Donnie, where even the backups, uh, are extremely talented there. But as good as those guys are, the best wide receivers on the field are going to be for USC. So this game. Whether or not Oregon, not just win it, but if Oregon is going to win it by margin, then that defense of theirs is the one that's going to have to step up because make no mistake about it, even Iowa and Kurt Veran said, you know, those are the best guys I have seen in a very, very long time. They have got guys that can Take over a game and Lincoln Riley's got to win a game on the road at some point, doesn't he, Donnie? Like at some point with all that talent, he's got to get it done. I tend to think maybe more points than less points in this game. Wouldn't shock me if we get a wild shootout here. Maybe team totals for both teams. Look at the over here. How about an ACC eliminator here for the championship game, Joe Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech, which Georgia Tech is a favorite here. Under a field goal now, just about every outlet, but a lot of points are expected at 61.5. The jackets in the ACC 6-1. Pitt in the ACC 5-1, and away they go. I listen, I think Pat Nduzi shot himself in the foot. Uh, that entire situation of having to answer questions and, and letting everybody know you didn't care about a Notre Dame game and then getting blown out at home. And now what we're supposed to just turn it on for Georgia Tech. Now Georgia Tech is not Notre Dame, certainly not defensively, but my. Goodness, this is, uh, this is the kind of spot that Georgia Tech, Brent Key, the head coach, and of course, it feels like a 30 year old quarterback now for, uh, Georgia Tech, is they have been very difficult. And if this game is a one score game late, Donnie, I'm gonna trust Haynes King and Georgia Tech to win this game before I'd ever trust Norduzi to go on the road and win this. Texas on life support for the college football player, but who knows? Maybe all hell could break loose over the next couple of weeks. They knock off A&M and find themselves in the college football playoff, but they are a favorite here. Open up around 9.5. Most outlets here are sitting at 8.5 to 9 as a favorite over Arkansas on a total of 57.5 and Sark answering questions every day about, hey brother, I think you wanna leave, don't you? No, I don't wanna leave. So you got that as well. Yeah, no, yeah, you, you do. But I, listen, they should have no problem here against Arkansas. Bad defense. They will put up points. Everything will be well, uh, and then, of course, the big moment of truth is gonna come in a couple of weeks when they have to take on, uh, Texas A&M. So, uh, I'm more worried about maybe A&M and a look ahead than I would be Texas here who should have no problem against that terrible Arkansas defense. Now help me out with this. Wasn't Fran Brown one of the hottest coaching commodities in college football just a year ago for Syracuse? Now they're catching 35.5 from Notre Dame on a disastrous season that sees a 35.5 point spread and a 50.5 total. For me, Joe, I think Notre Dame again, my angle this weekend is a lot of playoff angles where, yes, the oddsmaker is gonna build into the equation that, OK, here's the statistics and here's what matters, but outside the box, Notre Dame understands. They need to run it up because they don't want, they want more distance from this whole Miami talking and two losses here. You can't beat Syracuse by a touchdown, but I'm not gonna lay the 35 5. I'm actually gonna lay the take the over 50 5. Notre Dame has a legitimate chance for me to get into the 40s. I just need Syracuse to have two scoring drives, and I think we get there. I'm gonna take the over in this game, but I do think Notre Dame lays the smackdown on Syracuse. Why? Because they have to. All right, so let me give you the, uh, last 5 games which happen to be 5 losses for Syracuse. Total points scored 1010, 1613, 18. Yeah, beautiful. That's, uh, yeah, that's the no, not good. Yeah, not good, Syracuse. Uh, and they, I think they have a wide receiver playing quarterback. So this should be, uh, first half for me, Donnie. Uh, to me, Notre Dame, they'll be up 40 to 40 to 3 at the first half. Yeah, I remember their coach for Syracuse saying in the offseason, like, hey, what happens when people come pill for your program with players? Well, I don't want those players anyway and we don't bother with them. Looks like he probably needed some of those football players to compete this year. But let me ask you a question about this too, down the stretch as we see it. Because in the old BCS era, Joe, like margin of victory mattered. And if you had a game where you were fair by 14 points and you were driving with 30 seconds to go inside the 5, usually good sportsmanship is like, hey, the game is over, take a knee. Not the case. Like you need to score as many points as you can because those computers would read it and say, Whoa, 21 point win as opposed to 14 win. That's extra points here in the market for you to move up or down on a ladder. Talk to me about some of these teams, including like the Miami Hurricanes, like you are playing to absolutely surprise the pollsters like wow, they won by that much or oh that's not a good look, they only won by a few points. Handicapping late in the season with teams show that need to impress, how do you handle that? Yeah, well, it, the whole thing is that you now you've got human beings making decisions and recency bias comes into play, Donnie. So, if you're gonna have the argument between Notre Dame and Miami, and they have the same record, but one team won by 3 at home on a last-minute field goal. Uh, then I got to look here and say, well, look at Notre Dame. They're winnings 50 to 7. They're winning, you know, 45. They're destroying everyone. Yeah, it plays into the psyche, like it or not. Uh, so the more points and the bigger blowouts, the better off you are, I think. Let me ask you a question about this one, Joe, because it's rare we see this. I have a game that's totaled at 59.5 points, Joe. The favorite in this game, minus 54.5. That's Texas A&M over Sanford. Now, Texas A&M has Texas on deck after this one. Are you laying the 54.5? Are you saying like A&M is gonna put up 35+ in the first half and say enough. Let's just get ready for next week. We got bigger fish to fry. Oh, they are absolutely going to have to do that at some particular point. Otherwise, help you, I mean, if somebody gets hurt, I don't know what to tell you. A&M and Ef go on their way. We'll be right back.

College Football Week 13: Game Analysis & Betting Predictions

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