Bijan Robinson Leads Atlanta Falcons Offensive Shift
Sportsgrid Staff
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Bijan Robinson: The New Centerpiece of the Atlanta Falcons Offense
The Atlanta Falcons have finally embraced Robinson as the centerpiece of their offense. After splitting carries with Tyler Allgeier early in the season, Robinson has taken over the lion’s share of touches, showcasing the elite talent that made him the eighth overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Let’s dive into Robinson’s fantasy outlook, Allgeier’s diminishing role, and some betting angles for the Falcons.
Bijan Robinson: An Ascending Superstar
Why the Shift Took Time
The Falcons seemed hesitant to unleash Robinson early in the season, likely managing his workload to keep him fresh for the playoff push. However, his recent usage suggests the team has realized they have a rare offensive weapon.
- Recent Production: Robinson has averaged over 18 touches per game in the last three weeks, accumulating 315 total yards and 3 touchdowns.
- Role in the Offense: As a dynamic runner and pass-catcher, Robinson’s versatility has allowed the Falcons to design plays specifically for him, making him a must-start in all formats.
Fantasy Take
- Start with Confidence: Robinson is a locked-in RB1 moving forward. With the offense flowing through him, he’s a weekly game-changer in both standard and PPR leagues.
- DFS Angle: Robinson is an excellent DFS play, even at a high price. His ability to rack up points through rushing and receiving makes him a safe option with a high ceiling.
Tyler Allgeier: A Fading Role
Why Allgeier Has Fallen Off
Allgeier thrived early in the season, but his role has been reduced as Robinson’s workload increases. He remains a solid backup and a goal-line option, but his fantasy value has plummeted.
- Production Dip: Allgeier hasn’t topped 50 yards in a game since Week 6 and has only 2 touchdowns in his last five games.
- Fantasy Viability: He’s now a touchdown-dependent RB3/Flex option in deeper leagues.
Fantasy Take
- Bench in Most Formats: Allgeier is a desperation play at best. Only start him if you’re in a deep league or dealing with injuries.
- DFS Angle: Fade Allgeier in DFS. His limited touches make him too risky, even as a contrarian play.
This Week’s Matchup: Falcons vs. Denver Broncos
The Falcons face the Denver Broncos, a defense that has struggled against the run but improved since their disastrous start to the season.
Fantasy Recommendation
- Robinson: Start with confidence. Denver allows an average of 120 rushing yards per game, and Robinson should exploit this weakness.
- Allgeier: Bench unless you’re desperate. His limited role caps his upside.
DFS Angle
Robinson is a premium play in DFS. Stack him with the Falcons’ defense for a high-upside correlation if you believe Atlanta will control the game.
Betting Insights: Can Bijan Lead the Falcons to Victory?
Betting Lines
- Spread: Falcons -3
- Total Points: 43.5
Player Props to Consider
- Robinson Over 90.5 Total Yards: Robinson’s increased workload and ability to contribute in both the running and passing game make this a strong play.
- Allgeier Under 35.5 Rushing Yards: Allgeier’s reduced role makes it unlikely he’ll hit this mark unless the game becomes a blowout.
Game Bet
- Bet on Falcons -3. With Robinson leading the way, Atlanta should be able to control the pace and come out on top.
Rest-of-Season Outlook for Robinson and Allgeier
Bijan Robinson
Robinson’s role as the centerpiece of the Falcons offense makes him a league-winner for fantasy managers. His combination of talent, volume, and versatility puts him among the elite RBs in the league.
Tyler Allgeier
While Allgeier remains a capable backup, his fantasy value is limited unless Robinson misses time. He’s a handcuff in most leagues but not a reliable weekly starter.
Final Thoughts: Bijan’s Time to Shine
The Falcons have made the right decision by leaning into Robinson as the focal point of their offense. For fantasy managers, this means an elite option at RB1 and a potential game-changer as the playoffs approach.
- Fantasy Advice: Start Robinson every week, bench or drop Allgeier unless you need a handcuff.
- Betting Advice: Focus on Robinson’s props and back the Falcons to cover small spreads in matchups against weaker defenses.
The Falcons’ offense is evolving, and Robinson is the driving force behind its resurgence. Fantasy managers who stuck with him early are finally being rewarded.
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