Bills vs Chiefs AFC Championship Game Predictions | NFL Playoff Picks Today, Best Bets

It’s AFC Championship Week in the NFL, and the Buffalo Bills are set to visit the Kansas City Chiefs to see which side advances to the Super Bowl. SportsGrid Previews the matchup here.

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Where to Watch Bills vs Chiefs

• Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri)
• Time: 6:30 p.m. ET | Where to Watch: NBC
• Spread: Chiefs -1.5 | Moneyline: Chiefs -122 | Total: 48.5

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Chiefs vs Bills Best Bet ATS: Bills +1.5 (-108)

What a matchup this one is again. The Bills and Chiefs have created a real rivalry over the last half-decade, and we’ll be getting another chapter of it on Sunday evening. The Chiefs have had the Bills’ number in the postseason, while Buffalo’s been the superior team lately in their regular season head-to-heads. Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen are two of the best quarterbacks in the league, and each time they collide, new magic is created on the football field. A betting trend throughout his storied NFL career is that you don’t make money betting against Mahomes. So why are we going against that trend this week? It’s more than the notion the Bills are due. This is a better football team, and they’ve put together a better body of work this year, even with a lesser record. The Baltimore Ravens were the best team in the AFC, and the Bills took them down last week. The Bills match up better against the Chiefs than anyone in football. I like the value more on Buffalo, and it’s about time the better team picked up the win in this playoff matchup. 

AFC Championship Game ATD: Chiefs | Bills  | Top Travis Kelce Prop Bets |

Chiefs vs Bills Best Bet Total: UNDER 48.5 (-112)

Since 2021, the Chiefs and Bills have locked horns seven times, playoffs included, forging a fierce rivalry. Though the Chiefs have often had the upper hand in the most crucial games, the rivalry’s intensity is undeniable. Scoring trends in these contests have been inconsistent despite the abundance of offensive firepower on both sides. Two out of their last four meetings have fallen short of high-scoring expectations. I’m leaning toward a ground-oriented, defensive slugfest this Sunday. The Chiefs have demonstrated formidable run defense, and there’s little in Kansas City’s recent offensive play to suggest they’ll rack up significant points against this stout Bills defense. Coupled with a Buffalo defensive setup poised to stymie Kansas City, all signs point to a low-scoring affair.