Championship Sunday Top 5 Player Props | NFL 2025 Playoff Picks Today

Patrick Mahomes OVER 23.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Patrick Mahomes’ rushing prop might feel a bit high at first glance if you've just been checking the box scores. After all, the Chiefs' superstar has only hit this mark once in his last five outings. Don’t overlook his willingness to scramble when it counts. Mahomes has proven repeatedly that he’s not afraid to use his legs, especially in the playoffs. Against the Bills in previous postseason battles, he’s showcased that mobility. Mahomes has logged at least six rushes in four of his last five playoff appearances. This number could be a steal if he sees a similar volume on the ground this Sunday.

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Saquon Barkley UNDER 125.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

Championship Sunday Top Player Props: Commanders | Eagles | Bills | Chiefs | Travis Kelce

Saquon Barkley has been the golden ticket of the Philadelphia Eagles' postseason run. In his recent contests, Barkley has been churning out yards at an extraordinary rate of 6.0 yards per carry. While that figure is undoubtedly commendable, it's likely not one that you can expect to continue, even after the elite season he just put together. If you factor in every carry except his two big scampers last week, he only averaged 2.7 yards per attempt. Limiting the big play is going to be massive for the Washington Commanders. Barkley falling under the number has some nice value to it. 

Dalton Kincaid OVER 3.5 Receptions (+108)

Bills vs. Chiefs Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

Let’s start things off with a high-value play that deserves attention. Dalton Kincaid may not have blossomed into the offensive weapon some expected in the passing game for the Buffalo Bills this season, but there’s a notable trend worth highlighting. In his two career matchups against the Kansas City Chiefs, Kincaid has been a reliable target, hauling in five catches in each game on 13 total targets. The Bills see something they can exploit when they line Kincaid up against the Chiefs, and there’s no reason to believe they won’t go back to that well here. Add the enticing plus-money odds, and this play becomes even more appealing.

Spread: Chiefs -1.5 | Moneyline: Chiefs -122 | Bills +104 | Total: 48.5

James Cook OVER 55.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

AFC Championship Game ATD: Chiefs | Bills 

In this matchup, a crucial goal for the Buffalo Bills will be getting James Cook into a rhythm early. Cook has elevated his game to new heights this season, and he'll need to bring his A-game against a tough Chiefs defense. He’s had success against Kansas City before, eclipsing the mark in two of his last three showdowns with the Chiefs. We've already seen him play a significant role and deliver in Buffalo’s postseason games this year. We're looking toward that trend continuing here. 

Patrick Mahomes OVER 23.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Patrick Mahomes’ rushing prop might feel a bit high at first glance if you've just been checking the box scores. After all, the Chiefs' superstar has only hit this mark once in his last five outings. Don’t overlook his willingness to scramble when it counts. Mahomes has proven repeatedly that he’s not afraid to use his legs, especially in the playoffs. Against the Bills in previous postseason battles, he’s showcased that mobility. Mahomes has logged at least six rushes in four of his last five playoff appearances. This number could be a steal if he sees a similar volume on the ground this Sunday.

March down the field with SportsGrid’s FREE Top NFL Game Picks and NFL Player Prop Picks weekly!