Eagles NFC Championship Game Top 5 Player Props | NFL Playoff Picks Today, Best Bets
Grant White
Host · Writer
Saquon Barkley Under 125.5 Rushing Yards
Our final pick comes with a contrarian angle. Undoubtedly, Saquon Barkley has been the Eagles' lifeline in the playoffs. The All-Pro running back has accumulated 491 rushing yards in three postseason games. However, he's operating above normal range, putting him at risk of regression on Sunday.
Over his last three games, Barkley averages a staggering 6.0 yards per carry. Impressive, yes. Unsustainable, even more so. Nearly 40.0% of his 205 yards last week came on a 78-yard jaunt. Combined with his other 62-yard run, 140 yards came on just two carries. That means that on his other 24 carries, Barkley mustered a paltry 2.7 yards per carry.
Unfortunately for Eagles' fans, Barkley is a prime regression candidate against the Commanders. He could hit triple digits for a fifth consecutive game, but our money is on Barkley falling short of 125.5 rushing yards.
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Jalen Hurts Over 179.5 Passing Yards
Commanders vs. Eagles Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates
It hasn't been a spectacular return to action for Jalen Hurts. The Philadelphia Eagles quarterback has looked somewhat sluggish in his two starts back under center. Nevertheless, he's an ideal buy-low candidate in the NFC Championship Game, with his passing prop looking like an attainable 179.5.
Some of Hurts's issues are tied to A.J. Brown's lingering knee injury. Brown hasn't looked like himself lately, and that's hindered the Eagles' ability to stretch the field. Still, Hurts has been incredibly efficient in the playoffs, completing 68.3% of his passes. While he hasn't eclipsed 131 passing yards, he'll have every opportunity to exploit a vulnerable Washington Commanders' pass defense.
Philadelphia can't rest on its laurels against the Commanders. The NFC East winners could be forced to throw the ball to try and keep pace with Washington's high-powered offense. We should see Hurts eclipse his passing yards prop at home.
Spread: Eagles -6.5 | Moneyline: Eagles -270 | Commanders +220 | Total: 47.5
DeVonta Smith Over 48.5 Receiving Yards
Of course, for Jalen Hurts to surpass his passing total, he'll need some pass-catchers to operate at peak efficiency. In that regard, he can turn to DeVonta Smith.
Smith has been on a tear to end the season. The fourth-year pro has caught 20 of the last 23 passes thrown his way for a jaw-dropping 87.0% catch rate. Moreover, he's used his typical short-to-intermediate routes to inflict damage on his opponents. Smith has totaled 247 receiving yards across the four-game sample, averaging 12.4 yards per reception.
With Smith surpassing four receptions in each of his last four games, extrapolating his recent averages puts him above his projected total. Still, we expect him to take on a more prominent role on Sunday, dwarfing his very reachable prop.
Dallas Goedert Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
DeVonta Smith isn't the only Eagles' pass-catcher we see flourishing against the Commanders. Dallas Goedert remains an elite power and should have the volume and space to exceed his receiving yards prop.
Injuries have limited Goedert's time on the field this season. Nevertheless, he returned at the right time and has thrived since. The Eagles tight end has caught four passes in three straight, hauling in 16 of the passes thrown his way. That 75.0% catch rate puts him below his regular season average of 80.8%, implying that Goedert is a progression candidate over the season's final weeks.
Tight ends have thrived against the Commanders recently, setting Goedert up for another top-end performance. As with Smith, his passing total depends on Hurts, and we expect all three to thrive on Sunday.
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Jalen Carter to Record a Sack +124
There is no shortage of playmakers on the Eagles' defense, but their defensive front has been particularly effective at pressuring opposing quarterbacks. Jalen Carter made his presence felt in last week's Divisional Round win, and we're expecting a repeat performance against the Commanders.
The Eagles' defensive tackle has been a menace this season. While he's had a modest 6.5 sacks since the start of the season, Carter has no issues breaking through offensive lines. The second-year pro has 21 quarterback hits this season, with six of those coming in the playoffs. Renewed success is anticipated in the NFC Championship against a Commanders o-line that has given up 12 sacks over the past three games.
Carter remains a plus-money underdog to record a sack against the Commanders, making him one of the top-value plays on the board.
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Saquon Barkley Under 125.5 Rushing Yards
Our final pick comes with a contrarian angle. Undoubtedly, Saquon Barkley has been the Eagles' lifeline in the playoffs. The All-Pro running back has accumulated 491 rushing yards in three postseason games. However, he's operating above normal range, putting him at risk of regression on Sunday.
Over his last three games, Barkley averages a staggering 6.0 yards per carry. Impressive, yes. Unsustainable, even more so. Nearly 40.0% of his 205 yards last week came on a 78-yard jaunt. Combined with his other 62-yard run, 140 yards came on just two carries. That means that on his other 24 carries, Barkley mustered a paltry 2.7 yards per carry.
Unfortunately for Eagles' fans, Barkley is a prime regression candidate against the Commanders. He could hit triple digits for a fifth consecutive game, but our money is on Barkley falling short of 125.5 rushing yards.
Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with SportsGrid.
Jalen Hurts Over 179.5 Passing Yards
Commanders vs. Eagles Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates
It hasn't been a spectacular return to action for Jalen Hurts. The Philadelphia Eagles quarterback has looked somewhat sluggish in his two starts back under center. Nevertheless, he's an ideal buy-low candidate in the NFC Championship Game, with his passing prop looking like an attainable 179.5.
Some of Hurts's issues are tied to A.J. Brown's lingering knee injury. Brown hasn't looked like himself lately, and that's hindered the Eagles' ability to stretch the field. Still, Hurts has been incredibly efficient in the playoffs, completing 68.3% of his passes. While he hasn't eclipsed 131 passing yards, he'll have every opportunity to exploit a vulnerable Washington Commanders' pass defense.
Philadelphia can't rest on its laurels against the Commanders. The NFC East winners could be forced to throw the ball to try and keep pace with Washington's high-powered offense. We should see Hurts eclipse his passing yards prop at home.
Spread: Eagles -6.5 | Moneyline: Eagles -270 | Commanders +220 | Total: 47.5
