MNF Doubleheader: 7 Favorite NFL Anytime Touchdown Best Bets & Who to Avoid

We have a Monday Night Football doubleheader set for tonight, beginning in the NFC North as the Minnesota Vikings will host the Chicago Bears before the Las Vegas Raiders host the Atlanta Falcons. The touchdown market has a ton of value, so let’s dive into everything you need to know for the night ahead.

Justin Jefferson (-105) or Jordan Addison (+135)?

Justin Jefferson finally broke a touchdown streak last Sunday in a big way as he went for two touchdowns off of 132 yards, but Jordan Addison still outshined him as he hauled in three touchdowns off 133 yards. While Jefferson gets all the attention, Addison has been dominant for longer, scoring six touchdowns in the past six games. When the Vikings faced the Bears three weeks ago, Addison made eight receptions for 162 yards and a touchdown, while Jefferson made just two for 27 yards. Who would ever say to fade Jefferson outright? But the value is on Addison at +135.

Bears Wide Receiver Carousel

The Bears passing offense has been up and down all season, but results aside, Caleb Williams has thrown for seven touchdowns across the past three games, including an impressive outing against the Vikings. At +230, Keenan Allen leads the way with three of those eight touchdowns, while DJ Moore (+220) and Rome Odunze (+280) have each caught two. Where is the value? Right now, I have to give a slight lean to Allen as he led the wide receivers in targets against the Vikings with 15, making nine catches for 86 yards. Moore is a worthwhile option if you expect the Bears to put up some points, while much of Odunze’s touchdown production has been garbage-time dependent. We’ll be betting on Allen tonight, but we’ll also sprinkle in a parlay on both Allen and Moore to score at +900.

RB1 Value: Aaron Jones (-120) or Bijan Robinson (-220)?

The two featured RB1s on tonight’s slate will be Aaron Jones (-120) and Bijan Robinson (-220), so how should we approach both backs? Jones is the favorite among the Vikings to score tonight and happened to put together his best performance of the season against the Bears, rushing 22 times for a season-high 106 yards with a touchdown. He’s worth considering, and I’d look to parlay him specifically with Jordan Addison and the Vikings ML for a +450 wager.

For Bijan Robinson, we want no part of him straight up at -220, but it’s hard not to consider betting on him in some capacity as he’s combined for 48 carries, 194 yards, and two touchdowns across his last two games. It’s hard to have much faith in the Raiders right now, so parlaying Bijan to score with a Falcons win is worthwhile at -115.

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Fade: Sincere McCormick (+150)

Not a lot is going right for the Raiders on the injury front, paving the way for Desmond Ridder to make his first start of the season at QB for an offense with an inexperienced RB1 in Sincere McCormick. At +150, I don’t know if I can get behind him at that price because we just saw the Falcons let up five passing touchdowns last week. Aaron Jones still scored against the Falcons’ front, but I don’t expect the Raiders to be in a position tonight to keep the ball on the ground and in McCormick’s hands.

How to Approach Falcons’ Spiraling Passing Offense?

Early in the season, Drake London was a favorite anytime touchdown bet for us, but I don’t know how I’m supposed to have any faith in the Falcons’ passing offense right now, given how dreadful Kirk Cousins has been the past four weeks. Still, an argument can be made that tonight could be Kirk’s last start should it go south, so there could be an extra layer of motivation against an average-at-best Raiders’ secondary. However, Kirk has been so bad that I would much rather get creative with Bijan Robinson’s touchdown bets instead of touching the passing offense.

Jakobi Meyers (+210)

I don’t know what we’re going to see from Desmond Ridder tonight, but if there is any game for him to look solid, it would have to be tonight, as he’s set to face his old team that just got torched last week for five passing touchdowns. We have to find a way to wager on Jakobi Meyers at a fantastic +210 price, as he’s averaged 12 targets across his last three games and now faces one of football’s worst secondaries.

Longshot Value?

Examining potential longshot wagers, I don’t see any good opportunities in the Bears-Vikings clash, as both offenses have been somewhat condensed. Still, there are a few that stand out in the Falcons-Raiders clash. On the Falcons’ side, even though I don’t want to trust the passing offense, the Raiders’ are vulnerable against opposing tight ends, making Kyle Pitts an option at +330, but again, tread lightly with this Falcons’ passing offense.

For Las Vegas, there could be a ton of value to be had, as Desmond Ridder could be more willing to trust the backups, as that’s the unit he’s had most of his reps with this season. Michael Mayer stands out at +550 after he had a season-high seven receptions last week, and Tre Tucker, to a lesser extent, at +320, given his ability to beat the defense deep.