Seahawks vs Bears TNF: 6 Favorite NFL Anytime Touchdown Best Bets
Ben DiGiacomo
Host · Writer
The Seattle Seahawks and Chicago Bears will meet tonight on Thursday Night Football, so here are the top touchdown bets you should look to back and avoid.
TNF Betting Guide
Best Bets | Seahawks-Bears Matchup Page Most Bet Player Props | Same Game Parlay
How to Approach Zach Charbonnet (-160)
Tonight will be the fourth game with Zach Charbonnet as the RB1 with Kenneth Walker III sidelined, and in the three previous games, he combined for five touchdowns. There is certainly value to be had for him to score tonight at -160, but in order to maximize value, we’ll look to parlay him simply with the Seahawks’ ML for a +110 wager.
Keenan Allen (+180) or DJ Moore (+185)
Not many positives can be said about the Bears right now, as they’ve lost nine straight games, but as we expect them to fall again tonight, Caleb Williams will be slinging. Keenan Allen and DJ Moore are both in for highly productive games, but which is the stronger touchdown bet? For me, it has to be Allen, as he’s combined for five touchdowns across the past five weeks and has been targetted 13 times in each of the last two weeks. Moore also has a high target upside, but he has just scored twice over the same five-week stretch. Allen and Williams have built some nice chemistry, so he has our trust for a +180 wager.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+155) or DK Metcalf (+185)
The Seahawks passing offense has been led by Jaxon Smith-Njigba through the air, but is he the best wager to make among the Seahawks’ wide receivers to find the endzone? Well, we certainly think so, as he’s combined for five touchdowns across the last seven games while also going for 18 receptions across the last two games. I still rather unload on the Charbonnet TD + Seahawks ML parlay at +110 rather than backing Smith-Njigba at +155, but there is value to be had here if you envision the Bears’ defense having no fight in them. Additionally, DK Metcalf is someone I refuse to give up on, especially at an enticing +185 price. The production hasn’t been there for him compared to the numbers JSN is putting up, but DK is far too talented to be limited for much longer.
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Fade: D’Andre Swift (+180)
With our belief that the Seahawks will handle this game with ease, there is no value to be had for D’Andre Swift to score, even at a nice +180 price. Swift hasn’t scored in five straight games leading into tonight, and he hasn’t even had the high-volume we look for. Plus, are we even sure he gets the goal-line work at this point? Getting DJ Moore and Keenan Allen at similar prices is a far more attractive wager.
Seahawks Longshot Value?
Charbonnet will look to carry the load for the Seahawks’ offense tonight with JSN and Metcalf following, but is there additional value to be had in the touchdown market? Tyler Lockett (+460) doesn’t deserve any consideration, as his volume has taken a nosedive, while Noah Fant (+430) hasn’t scored all year, and he doesn’t even have the red-zone volume to put stock into. However, as the TE2, AJ Barner does have three touchdowns on the year and is worth considering at a +950 price.
Any More Bears with Value?
We already touched on Swift, Allen, and Moore as the headliners of the Bears’ offense, but is there any more value in the touchdown market beyond them? As we’re fading Swift, Roschon Johnson is worth considering at a nice +470 price, as he’s a lock to receive any touches within the two-yard line. Cole Kmet (+430) and Rome Odunze (+280) are the only other Bears to score this year, but I don’t see any value to be had either. Given the favorable price we’re getting on Keenan Allen anyway at +180, we might as well just unload wagers on him.
All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
