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MLB · 1 week ago

Boston Red Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Red Sox @ Diamondbacks – First Pitch: 9:40 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Clear Sky, 87°
 

The Boston Red Sox are taking on the Arizona Diamondbacks in a game that’s sure to keep you on the edge of your seats. This isn’t just any game – we’ve got Chris Sale on the mound, and the Red Sox are looking like the favorites at -150. Let’s break it down.

Chris Sale, once a dominant pitcher for the Chicago White Sox, cooled off a bit when he joined Boston. But guess what? He’s heating up again. Over the last 30 days, Sale has an xFIP of 3.47 and a K rate of 31%. His walk rate is less than 3% – yes, we’re seeing the old Chris Sale magic again. Let’s check out his splits: against lefties, his weighted on-base percentage is .267, and against righties, it’s even lower at .214. That’s impressive stuff.

The Diamondbacks’ pitcher Brandon Pfaadt has an xFIP of 6.61 over the past 30 days and a K rate under 15%. His splits make for interesting reading: a .421 weighted on-base percentage against lefties and a .375 against righties. And let’s not forget the ISO numbers, .286 for lefties and a whopping .405 for righties

So, are we going to see the Red Sox wake up and take the game to the Diamondbacks? I’d say there’s a good chance. After all, every baseball night could be a Friday night special.

Let’s not forget Sale’s early season struggles, which inflated his numbers somewhat. His ERA was at 21 after his first game against Baltimore and 11.25 over his first three outings. But in his last four starts, spanning 27.1 innings, his ERA has dropped to under 2.50.

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Red Sox -1.5  +106  O 9  -103  -151  Open
+116  8.5  -119  -141  Current
 Diamondbacks +1.5   -127  U 9  -117  +129  Open
 -138  8.5   -101  +120  Current

Projected Lineups:

Red Sox

Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale: 4-2, 5.01 ERA, 11.09 K/9

1. RF  Alex Verdugo   .283, 5 HR, 19 RBI
2. LF  Masataka Yoshida   .299, 6 HR, 29 RBI
3. DH  Justin Turner   .263, 5 HR, 18 RBI
4. 3B  Rafael Devers   .249, 13 HR, 44 RBI
5. CF  Jarren Duran   .300, 3 HR, 19 RBI
6. 1B  Triston Casas   .181, 6 HR, 15 RBI
7. SS  Enrique Hernández   .236, 3 HR, 17 RBI
8. 2B  Enmanuel Valdez   .273, 3 HR, 10 RBI
9. C  Connor Wong   .231, 5 HR, 12 RBI

Diamondbacks

Starting Pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt: 0-1, 7.65 ERA, 6.30 K/9

1. 2B  Ketel Marte   .279, 6 HR, 20 RBI
2. DH  Emmanuel Rivera   .323, 1 HR, 10 RBI
3. LF  Lourdes Gurriel Jr.   .317, 8 HR, 27 RBI
4. 1B  Christian Walker   .249, 11 HR, 34 RBI
5. 3B  Evan Longoria   .221, 6 HR, 10 RBI
6. CF  Corbin Carroll   .286, 7 HR, 17 RBI
7. SS  Nick Ahmed   .238, 1 HR, 10 RBI
8. C  Gabriel Moreno   .304, 2 HR, 19 RBI
9. RF  Jake McCarthy   .143, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Betting Insights:

Red Sox

  • The over hit in 1 of the Boston Red Sox last 5 games on the road in 2023

Diamondbacks

  • The over hit in 3 of the Arizona Diamondbacks last 5 games at home in 2023

 

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