San Diego Padres vs. Minnesota Twins Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
Padres @ Twins – First Pitch: 7:40 p.m.
The spotlight today falls on the MLB matchup between the San Diego Padres and the Minnesota Twins, two teams that have been playing some quality baseball recently. On the mound for the Padres, we have Seth Lugo, transitioning from reliever to starter, while Pablo Lopez will be taking the mound for the Twins. With the Twins favored at -129, it’s going to be an exciting game, and there’s potential for some great betting opportunities.
Lopez, a former Marlin, has indeed been proving his mettle with the Twins. His season record is impressive, boasting a 3.61 xFIP (Expected Fielding Independent Pitching) number, and he’s managed to keep his wOBA (Weighted On-Base Average) to .250 against lefties and .305 against righties. His good form suggests that he could give the Padres a tough time at the plate.
However, San Diego, fresh off their victory last night, are not to be taken lightly. Their lineup, featuring the likes of Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado, is starting to find its rhythm. The potent Padres’ offense is a real threat when they’re firing on all cylinders, so Lopez will need to bring his A-game.
The Padres’ starter, Seth Lugo, has been a surprise package. His transition from reliever to starter has been smoother than expected, and his stats reflect that. His xFIP stands at 3.79, and he has managed to keep his ISO (Isolated Power) numbers below average at .138 against lefties and .093 against righties. This could suggest fewer runs than anticipated in today’s game.
Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | +1.5 | -190 | O 8.5 | -108 | +106 | Open |
| -188 | 8.5 | -120 | +110 | Current | ||
| Twins | -1.5 | +159 | U 8.5 | -112 | -125 | Open |
| +158 | 8.5 | -101 | -129 | Current | ||
Projected Lineups:
Padres
Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo: 3-2, 3.21 ERA, 8.29 K/9
| 1. | RF | Fernando Tatis Jr. | .270, 4 HR, 10 RBI |
| 2. | 3B | Manny Machado | .257, 5 HR, 17 RBI |
| 3. | LF | Juan Soto | .244, 5 HR, 17 RBI |
| 4. | SS | Xander Bogaerts | .273, 6 HR, 15 RBI |
| 5. | DH | Matt Carpenter | .225, 3 HR, 17 RBI |
| 6. | 1B | Jake Cronenworth | .238, 3 HR, 14 RBI |
| 7. | 2B | Ha-Seong Kim | .229, 3 HR, 10 RBI |
| 8. | CF | Trent Grisham | .214, 4 HR, 12 RBI |
| 9. | C | Austin Nola | .158, 1 HR, 6 RBI |
Twins
Starting Pitcher: Pablo López: 2-2, 3.77 ERA, 11.30 K/9
| 1. | RF | Max Kepler | .213, 5 HR, 12 RBI |
| 2. | SS | Carlos Correa | .185, 5 HR, 15 RBI |
| 3. | 2B | Jorge Polanco | .279, 2 HR, 11 RBI |
| 4. | DH | Byron Buxton | .233, 8 HR, 19 RBI |
| 5. | 1B | Joey Gallo | .189, 7 HR, 14 RBI |
| 6. | 3B | Kyle Farmer | .226, 1 HR, 5 RBI |
| 7. | LF | Nick Gordon | .155, 2 HR, 5 RBI |
| 8. | C | Christian Vázquez | .225, 0 HR, 6 RBI |
| 9. | CF | Michael A. Taylor | .247, 4 HR, 11 RBI |
Betting Insights:
Padres
- The over hit in 1 of the San Diego Padres last 5 games on the road in 2023
- The San Diego Padres are 3-2 (.600) on the road as an underdog in their last five games in 2023
Twins
- The Minnesota Twins are 10-4 (.714) at home as a favorite in 2023
- The over hit in 6 of the Minnesota Twins last 17 games at home in 2023
