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MLB 5/11 Preview: Padres Vs. Twins

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<h2>Padres @ Twins &#8211; First Pitch: 1:10 p.m.</h2>
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<div>Expected Forecast: Broken Clouds, 75°</div>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2>Betting Preview: Padres&#8217; Yu Darvish Faces Twins&#8217; Bailey Ober</h2>
<p>The focus is on the pitchers in the forthcoming MLB game between the <strong>Padres</strong> and <strong>Twins</strong>. With <strong>Yu Darvish</strong> at -132 against <strong>Bailey Ober</strong>, it&#8217;s a critical element for betting enthusiasts.</p>
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<h2>Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:</h2>
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<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th width="150px"> </th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Spread</th>
<th colspan="2" width="100px">Total</th>
<th width="100px">Moneyline</th>
<th width="100px"> </th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Padres</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">-1.5 </td>
<td align="right">+142 </td>
<td align="right">O 8.5 </td>
<td align="right">-106 </td>
<td align="center">-118</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">+127 </td>
<td align="right">8 </td>
<td align="right">-116 </td>
<td align="center">-132</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2"> Twins</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="right">+1.5 </td>
<td align="right"> -169 </td>
<td align="right">U 8.5 </td>
<td align="right">-114 </td>
<td align="center">-101</td>
<td> Open</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right"> -151 </td>
<td align="right">8 </td>
<td align="right"> -104 </td>
<td align="center">+112</td>
<td> Current</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<h2>Projected Lineups:</h2>
<h3>Padres</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> Yu Darvish: 2-2, 3.19 ERA, 9.82 K/9 </p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Fernando Tatis Jr.</td>
<td width="180px">  .266, 4 HR, 10 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Jake Cronenworth</td>
<td width="180px">  .236, 3 HR, 14 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Manny Machado</td>
<td width="180px">  .250, 5 HR, 18 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> Juan Soto</td>
<td width="180px">  .246, 6 HR, 18 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> Xander Bogaerts</td>
<td width="180px">  .272, 6 HR, 15 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Trent Grisham</td>
<td width="180px">  .217, 4 HR, 12 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Ha-Seong Kim</td>
<td width="180px">  .229, 3 HR, 10 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Rougned Odor</td>
<td width="180px">  .105, 0 HR, 2 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Austin Nola</td>
<td width="180px">  .158, 1 HR, 7 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p></p>
<h2>Assessing Yu Darvish&#8217;s Performance</h2>
<p>On the other hand, Darvish, with a 4.12 X FIP number, has been solid against both left-handed and right-handed batters. He has held lefties to a .325 weighted on-base percentage and righties to .217. Given the Twins&#8217; line-up, we could expect a strong performance from Darvish.</p>
<h3>Twins</h3>
<p><b>Starting Pitcher:</b> Bailey Ober: 2-0, 0.98 ERA, 7.85 K/9 </p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">1.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">DH</td>
<td width="200px"> Byron Buxton</td>
<td width="180px">  .226, 8 HR, 19 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">2.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">RF</td>
<td width="200px"> Max Kepler</td>
<td width="180px">  .223, 6 HR, 13 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">3.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">SS</td>
<td width="200px"> Carlos Correa</td>
<td width="180px">  .189, 5 HR, 16 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">4.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">1B</td>
<td width="200px"> Alex Kirilloff</td>
<td width="180px">  .333, 0 HR, 1 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">5.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">2B</td>
<td width="200px"> Jorge Polanco</td>
<td width="180px">  .278, 2 HR, 11 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">6.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">CF</td>
<td width="200px"> Nick Gordon</td>
<td width="180px">  .164, 2 HR, 5 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">7.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">3B</td>
<td width="200px"> Kyle Farmer</td>
<td width="180px">  .235, 1 HR, 5 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">8.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">LF</td>
<td width="200px"> Joey Gallo</td>
<td width="180px">  .182, 7 HR, 14 RBI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" width="25px">9.</td>
<td align="center" width="35px">C</td>
<td width="200px"> Ryan Jeffers</td>
<td width="180px">  .273, 1 HR, 3 RBI</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div>
<h2>Evaluating Bailey Ober&#8217;s Performance</h2>
<p>With a slightly high xFIP number of 4.95, Bailey Ober has been consistent but not extraordinary this season. Surprisingly, his splits are impressive, with a weighted on-base average of .256 against lefties and .130 against righties. His minuscule ISO power numbers—.057 against lefties and .037 against righties—are also noteworthy.</p>
<p>However, Ober&#8217;s high flyball percentage could be problematic. He&#8217;s predominantly a fly ball pitcher, with only 28% of balls hit against him, resulting in grounders. Given the Padres&#8217; batting prowess, this tendency could come back to haunt him.</p>
<h2>Betting Insights:</h2>
</div>
<h3>Padres</h3>
<ul>
<li>The over hit in 0 of the San Diego Padres last 5 games on the road in 2023</li>
<li>The San Diego Padres are 3-2 (.600) on the road as a favorite in their last five games in 2023</li>
</ul>
<h3>Twins</h3>
<ul>
<li>The Minnesota Twins are 1-4 (.200) at home as an underdog in their last five games since the start of 2022</li>
<li>The over hit in 6 of the Minnesota Twins last 18 games at home in 2023</li>
</ul>
<h2>Potential Betting Angles</h2>
<p>The game might lean towards an under, given Darvish&#8217;s effective pitching and the Padres&#8217; waiting game for their line-up to heat up. <strong>Xander Bogaerts</strong> and <strong>Matt Carpenter</strong> show promising ISO power numbers, but the rest of the lineup is still finding its groove.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, <strong>Juan Soto</strong>, known for his high on-base percentage, could be a player to watch. Despite his average dipping below .250, his ability to draw walks and his potential for improvement make him a critical factor in San Diego&#8217;s offensive game.</p>
<h2>Betting Considerations</h2>
<p>With Darvish&#8217;s consistent performance and Ober&#8217;s potential fly ball issue, the betting dynamics appear to favor the Padres. However, it&#8217;s crucial to keep an eye on the Padres&#8217; lineup and Soto&#8217;s performance, as these could significantly influence the betting landscape for this MLB clash.</p>
</div>


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We delve into the pitching matchup of Yu Darvish and Bailey Ober, along with key stats, player performance, and potential betting angles.

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