Boxing: Best Bets for Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano 3

Whether it’s Ali-Frazier, The Godfather, or Led Zeppelin, we all love a good trilogy. Thankfully, this Friday, July 11, brings one for the ages: prepare for blood in Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano 3.

Brought to you by Jake Paul’s Most Valuable Promotions at one of the United States’ most iconic venues, Friday night will showcase an all-female fight card. Naturally, we’ve got you covered!

Note: All odds and lines are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change after the publication of this article.

How to Watch Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano 3

• Location: Madison Square Garden, NY
• Where to Watch: Netflix
• Event Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
• Taylor-Serrano Ring Walks Time: 11:00 p.m. ET (approx.)
• Taylor-Serrano Moneyline: Taylor +150 | Serrano -178
• Will Taylor-Serrano Go The Distance? Yes -750 | No +460
• Method of Victory: 
  Taylor by points/decision +165
  Taylor by KO/TKO +1900
  Draw +1100
  Serrano by points/decision -105
  Serrano by KO/TKO +500

Bet $5, Get $150 on Amanda Serrano vs. Katie Taylor with FanDuel.

After two previous contentious and controversial bouts, undisputed super lightweight champion Katie Taylor (24-1-0, 6 KO) of Ireland and unified featherweight world champion Amanda Serrano (47-3-1, 31 KO) of Puerto Rico will return to the squared circle at Madison Square Garden. Taylor is putting her IBF, WBC, and WBO world super lightweight straps on the line yet again this weekend.

Both prior fights in the Taylor-Serrano series have been incredibly exciting. The first (Apr. 2022) concluded in a split-decision victory for Taylor, while the most recent matchup (Nov. 2024) had all three judges for Taylor. Many thought Serrano fought more formidable than the scorecards showed at AT&T Stadium; the Puerto Rican landed 324 punches (44.1%) compared to Taylor’s 217 (41%). Of course, Serrano was hampered by a nasty gash above her right eye that was further opened by a flagged headbutt from Taylor.

The southpaw Serrano has shown a particular eagerness to exchange in her meetings with Taylor. According to CompuBox, Serrano has thrown a total of 1,358 punches in their two matchups, which equates to 679 punches per bout. In the same vein, she improved her accuracy, landing 44.1% of strikes on Taylor in 2024 (up from 27.7% in 2022).

With the current betting lines, -178 odds — which carries a 64% implied probability — feels too chalky to wager on Serrano to defeat a fighter she’s failed against twice already. However, in front of a predominantly Puerto Rican-friendly crowd in New York City, Serrano will be as motivated as ever.

For this trilogy, a certain prop has caught my eye. Under FanDuel’s “Punch Stat Specials" tab, “Serrano to Land 300+ Punches in the Fight" has a favorable pricing +110 odds. 

Best Bet: Serrano to Land 300+ Punches in the Fight (+110)

Undercard:

• Ellie Scotney vs. Yamileth Mercado: IBF, WBC, and WBO World Super Bantamweight Title Bout
• Alycia Baumgardner vs. Jennifer Miranda: IBF, WBC, and WBO World Super Featherweight title bout
• Savannah Marshall vs. Shadasia Green: IBF and WBO World Super Middleweight title bout
• Cherneka Johnson vs. Shurretta Metcalf: IBF, WBC, and WBO World Bantamweight title bout
• Chantelle Cameron vs. Jessica Camara: WBC Interim World Super Lightweight title bout
• Ramla Ali vs. Lila Furtado: Eight-round bout
• Tamm Thibeault vs. Mary Casamassa: Eight-round bout

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