UFC Vegas: Blanchfield vs Barber | UFC Picks Today, Best Bets
Tyler Mason
Host · Writer
A women’s flyweight bout headlines UFC Vegas 107 as No. 4-ranked Erin “Cold Blooded" Blanchfield faces No. 5-ranked Maycee “The Future" Barber.
- Arena: UFC Apex
- Location: Enterprise, Nevada, United States
- Where to Watch: ESPN
- Date: May 31, 2025
- Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
UFC Vegas: Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes
Dustin “The Hanyak" Jacoby aims to string a couple of wins against Bruno “Brunao" Lopes. After a nine-fight unbeaten streak, Jacoby has lost four of his last six. Lopes has won three straight, finishing two (1 KO/TKO, 1 Submission).
Jacoby is one inch taller and has a 1.5-inch reach advantage. He’ll have the power edge, knocking down opponents 0.5 times more per 15 minutes. Jacoby lands 2.44 more significant strikes per minute, but absorbs 1.05 more. Lopes is the better wrestler, averaging 2.35 more takedowns per 15 minutes. However, neither is overwhelming submission threats.
I don’t see this fight going to the ground, and despite slowing down, Jacoby is the better striker
💰 Best Bet: Jacoby to win at -192
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UFC Vegas: Mateusz Gamrot vs Ľudovít Klein
No. 7-ranked lightweight Mateusz “Gamer" Gamrot faces Ludovit “Mr. Highlight" Klein. Gamrot is 7-3 in the UFC, but coming off a loss to Dan Hooker. Klein has won four straight and has a seven-fight unbeathen streak.
Gamrot is three inches taller, but Klein has a two-inch reach advantage. Klein has more one-punch power, knocking down opponents 0.61 per 15 minutes. However, both men have similar striking outputs, Gamrot landing 3.23 significant strikes per minute and Klein 3.81. Gamrot is the better wrestler, averaging 3.55 more takedowns per 15 minutes. They both have impressive takedown defense rates at 90 and 91 percent.
This should be a very competitive fight, but I give the edge to Gamrot.
💰 Best Bet: Gamrot to win at -178
UFC Vegas: Erin Blanchfield vs Maycee Barber
- Odds to Win: Blanchfield -250 | Barber +190
- How Will Fight End: KO/TKO +460 | Submission +400 | Decision -240
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes -230 | No +174
A top-five potential women’s flyweight title eliminator between Erin Blanchfield and Maycee Barber headlines the card. Blanchfield is fresh off beating Rose Namajunas and has won ten of her last 11 fights. Barber is riding a six-fight win streak, beating Katlyn Cerminara her previous time out.
Barber is one inch taller, but Blanchfield has a one-inch reach advantage. Blanchfield is the more active striker, landing 0.54 more significant strikes per minute, but absorbs 1.31 more. Blanchfield has a slight grappling statistical edge, but the major difference is her 80 percent takedown defense rate.
Blanchfield should win this fight, but the odds are not attractive at -260. With neither fighter having great finishing ability, taking Blanchfield by decision is the way to go.
💰 Best Bet: Blanchfield by decision at -105
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