MLB · 10 months ago

Predicting Team & Contract for the Top 14 MLB Free Agents

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1. Corbin Burnes, SP
2024 Stats: 15-9, 2.92 ERA, 3.55 FIP, 32 GS, 194 1/3 IP, 181 K, 3.7 fWAR
Age in 2025: 30
Contract Prediction: Eight years, $232 million
Team Prediction: Boston Red Sox

Corbin Burnes is the most coveted ace on the market. The Red Sox, needing to bolster their rotation, seem like a prime fit. His durability and career track record should net him a contract exceeding $200 million.

For all your MLB deep dives, check out our friends at Just Baseball.
14. Jeff Hoffman, RP
Thanks to Just Baseball for research, analysis and insights for this slideshow article.

2024 Stats: 2.17 ERA, 2.52 FIP, 10 SV, 68 G, 66 1/3 IP, 89 K, 2.0 fWAR
Age in 2025: 32
Contract Prediction: Three years, $33 million
Team Prediction: Chicago Cubs

Hoffman has been lights out in relief, boasting a 2.28 ERA over the last two seasons. The Cubs, looking to bolster their bullpen, seem a strong fit for a deal similar to those signed by Taylor Rogers and Robert Stephenson.
13. Tanner Scott, RP
2024 Stats: 1.75 ERA, 2.92 FIP, 22 SV, 72 G, 72 IP, 84 K, 1.6 fWAR
Age in 2025: Will turn 31 in July
Contract Prediction: Four years, $60 million
Team Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

Scott is positioned as one of the most coveted relievers this offseason. Whether as a closer or a setup man, he’s expected to command a deal similar to Raisel Iglesias’s four-year, $58 million contract.
12. Ha-Seong Kim, SS
2024 Stats: .233/.330/.370, 11 HR, 22 SB, 47 RBI, 101 wRC+, 2.6 fWAR
Age in 2025: 29
Contract Prediction: Five years, $60 million
Team Prediction: San Francisco Giants

An elite defender and versatile infielder, Kim’s shoulder surgery may dampen his market slightly, but his defensive prowess should land him a multi-year deal. The Giants, with Bob Melvin and fellow KBO star Jung Hoo Lee, seem a natural fit.
11. Jurickson Profar, OF
2024 Stats: .280/.380/.459, 24 HR, 10 SB, 85 RBI, 139 wRC+, 4.3 fWAR
Age in 2025: 32
Contract Prediction: Three years, $45 million
Team Prediction: San Diego Padres

Profar’s All-Star season with the Padres makes San Diego a logical landing spot again. A three-year deal with a significant raise from his $1 million 2024 salary seems likely.
10. Christian Walker, 1B
2024 Stats: .251/.335/.468, 26 HR, 84 RBI, 119 wRC+, 3.0 fWAR
Age in 2025: 34
Contract Prediction: Three years, $65 million
Team Prediction: New York Yankees

Walker’s power and defense (three consecutive Gold Gloves) make him a prime target for the Yankees, who need a first baseman after moving on from Anthony Rizzo.
9. Nathan Eovaldi, SP
2024 Stats: 12-8, 3.80 ERA, 3.83 FIP, 29 GS, 170 2/3 IP, 166 K, 2.7 fWAR
Age in 2025: 35
Contract Prediction: Three years, $63 million
Team Prediction: Baltimore Orioles

Eovaldi’s reliability and postseason success make him a strong fit for Baltimore’s rotation alongside Zach Eflin and Grayson Rodriguez.
8. Sean Manaea, SP
2024 Stats: 12-6, 3.47 ERA, 3.83 FIP, 32 GS, 181 2/3 IP, 184 K, 2.8 fWAR
Age in 2025: 33
Contract Prediction: Four years, $76 million
Team Prediction: New York Mets

Manaea’s breakout 2024 makes him a prime candidate for a multi-year deal. His dominance after adjusting his arm angle boosts his value.
7. Jack Flaherty, SP
2024 Stats: 13-7, 3.17 ERA, 3.48 FIP, 28 GS, 162 IP, 194 K, 3.2 fWAR
Age in 2025: 29
Contract Prediction: Five years, $100 million
Team Prediction: Los Angeles Angels

Jack Flaherty’s strong 2024 season split between Detroit and Los Angeles sets him up for a significant deal. At 29, he’s one of the youngest starting pitchers in the free-agent market, making a five-year contract feasible. The Angels, actively bolstering their rotation, seem like an ideal landing spot.
6. Teoscar Hernández, OF
2024 Stats: .272/.339/.501, 33 HR, 12 SB, 99 RBI, 134 wRC+, 3.5 fWAR
Age in 2025: 32
Contract Prediction: Four years, $85 million
Team Prediction: New York Yankees

Teoscar Hernández’s gamble on a one-year prove-it deal paid off with an All-Star season and a World Series ring. Now he’s primed for a multi-year payday. The Yankees, seeking more power in their lineup, are a logical destination.
5. Anthony Santander, OF
2024 Stats: .235/.308/.506, 44 HR, 102 RBI, 129 wRC+, 3.3 fWAR
Age in 2025: 30
Contract Prediction: Five years, $110 million
Team Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

Anthony Santander’s career year with 44 home runs and 102 RBIs positions him as one of the premier power hitters in free agency. The Blue Jays, potentially missing out on Juan Soto, could pivot to Santander to add a middle-of-the-order bat.
4. Pete Alonso, 1B
2024 Stats: .240/.329/.459, 34 HR, 88 RBI, 122 wRC+, 2.1 fWAR
Age in 2025: 30
Contract Prediction: Six years, $140 million
Team Prediction: New York Mets

Pete Alonso remains one of the game’s premier power hitters. Despite a slightly down year by his standards, his postseason heroics cemented his value. The Mets are expected to prioritize bringing him back, assuming they don’t secure Juan Soto first.
3. Max Fried, SP
2024 Stats: 11-10, 3.25 ERA, 3.33 FIP, 29 GS, 174 1/3 IP, 166 K, 3.4 fWAR
Age in 2025: 31
Contract Prediction: Seven years, $190 million
Team Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers

Max Fried’s consistency and career 3.07 ERA make him a prized free agent. With the Braves unlikely to retain him, the Dodgers, always in search of elite pitching, are a prime candidate to land the southpaw.
2. Alex Bregman, 3B
2024 Stats: .260/.315/.453, 26 HR, 75 RBI, 118 wRC+, 4.1 fWAR

Age in 2025: 31
Contract Prediction: Six years, $168 million
Team Prediction: Detroit Tigers

Alex Bregman remains one of the most consistent and reliable third basemen in the league. Despite a slight dip in on-base percentage, his defense and leadership make him a strong fit for a team like the Tigers, who are looking for veteran presence after their playoff push in 2024.
1. Corbin Burnes, SP
2024 Stats: 15-9, 2.92 ERA, 3.55 FIP, 32 GS, 194 1/3 IP, 181 K, 3.7 fWAR
Age in 2025: 30
Contract Prediction: Eight years, $232 million
Team Prediction: Boston Red Sox

Corbin Burnes is the most coveted ace on the market. The Red Sox, needing to bolster their rotation, seem like a prime fit. His durability and career track record should net him a contract exceeding $200 million.

For all your MLB deep dives, check out our friends at Just Baseball.
14. Jeff Hoffman, RP
Thanks to Just Baseball for research, analysis and insights for this slideshow article.

2024 Stats: 2.17 ERA, 2.52 FIP, 10 SV, 68 G, 66 1/3 IP, 89 K, 2.0 fWAR
Age in 2025: 32
Contract Prediction: Three years, $33 million
Team Prediction: Chicago Cubs

Hoffman has been lights out in relief, boasting a 2.28 ERA over the last two seasons. The Cubs, looking to bolster their bullpen, seem a strong fit for a deal similar to those signed by Taylor Rogers and Robert Stephenson.

Predicting Team & Contract for the Top 14 MLB Free Agents

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