Pacers vs Bucks Prediction, Props, Best Bets | NBA Game 4 Parlay

The NBA Playoffs continue with another jam-packed Sunday slate. Tonight’s schedule concludes with a crucial Game 4 showdown between the Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks. Indiana can stake itself to a 3-1 series lead, but we don’t expect the Bucks to go down without a fight at home.

These are our favorite picks for our Same Game Parlay in tonight’s Eastern Conference matchup!

Pacers vs Bucks Sunday Same Game Parlay

Where to Watch Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks

• Arena: Fiserv Forum
• Location: Milwaukee, WI
• Where to Watch: TNT, FDSWI, and FDSIN
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Spread: MIL -4.5 | Total: 226.5
• Moneyline: MIL -194 | IND +162
• Pacers vs. Bucks Matchup Page

Leg 1: Bucks -4.5

Milwaukee got back to its winning ways last time out. In Game 3, the Bucks walked away with a convincing 117-101 win, which is a reflection of their dominance at Fiserv Forum.

Including Friday, the Bucks have now won and covered in five straight home games. Over that five-game stretch, they are averaging a monstrous 127.3 points per game, with an average winning margin of 13.6 points. That’s a reflection of the Bucks’ usual standard at home, where they’ve gone 28-14 against the spread on the season. 

Similarly, the Pacers’ effectiveness suffers on the road. Indiana has covered just 20 of 41 road games this season, in stark contrast to its 31-11 record at home. That record looks even worse across their more recent sample, with the Pacers covering the number in only three of their last 13 road games. 

While the Pacers may be able to put together an improved effort in Game 4, it still won’t be enough to keep pace with Milwaukee. The Bucks’ offense should reign supreme on Sunday night, helping them cover the modest spread.

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Leg 2: Damian Lillard 3+ Made Threes (-125)

Damian Lillard is coming off his worst performance of the season. Still, he’s not nearly as bad as he showed on Friday night. Accordingly, we’re betting on a vastly superior effort in Game 4. 

Lillard was outplayed entirely on Friday night. The nine-time All-Star shot just 2-for-12 from the field, for a season-worst 16.7% shooting percentage. He was even worse from distance, knocking down one of his eight three-pointers for 12.5%. However, Lillard remains a high-volume shooter, and we should see immediate correction. 

After a down year in 2023-24, Lillard got back to his All-Star ways this season. The seven-time All-NBA’er shot 44.8% from the field, including 37.6% from distance. Further, he has attempted no fewer than eight three-pointers in three straight and five of six. But with a 30.6% shooting percentage across that sample, Lillard is operating below expected values.

Assuredly, Lillard will see a sharp increase in scoring. His points prop is an equally tempting proposition, but we’re taking the Bucks guard to record three or more three-pointers.

Leg 3: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 13.5 Rebounds (+114)

He’s not being included in the conversation, but Giannis Antetokounmpo has gotten back to his MVP ways. The Bucks’ big man is averaging 30.4 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 6.5 assists on the season, ratcheting those totals higher in the playoffs. Another dominant performance is in store for Game 4. 

Antetokounmpo has been unstoppable. So far in this series, the two-time MVP is averaging 35.7 points and 14.0 rebounds per game. Still, his dominance on the boards isn’t limited to the last three games. Antetokounmpo has recorded at least 11 rebounds in eight straight games, resulting in an average of 13.6 rebounds per game.

Moreover, Indiana is one of the worst rebound teams in the league. The Pacers ranked fourth-worst in the NBA, averaging a paltry 41.8 rebounds per game. More concerningly, they have totaled just 78 points across their last two games while getting outrebounded in all three.

At +420, we’re tempted by Antetokounmpo’s triple-double prop. But we’re taking a more conservative approach. The Pacers don’t have the answer for him on the glass, and Antetokounmpo is in a prime position to continue his dominance. Over 13.5 rebounds is the play.

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Pacers vs Bucks Sunday Same Game Parlay +479

• Bucks -4.5
• Damian Lillard to Record 3+ Three-Pointers
• Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 13.5 Rebounds

We’re taking a correlated approach with tonight’s Same Game Parlay, making a play on three Bucks’ wagers. Milwaukee should find a way to cover the short number at home, with Lillard draining three or more three-pointers and Antetokounmpo going over 13.5 rebounds.

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