4. Denver Broncos (14-3)
The Broncos secured the AFC’s No. 1 seed, but there is significant "fraud alert" energy surrounding their 14-3 record, with 11 of those victories coming by one score. Furthermore, late-season struggles against physical teams like the Jaguars exposed a lack of a "Plan B" when the run game is neutralized. With the pressure of a first-round bye, Denver is a high-seed risk to fall in the Divisional Round.