Lions vs Packers Week 9 Predictions | NFL Picks Today, Best Bets

Suddenly, the NFC North is a battleground for some of the best teams in the NFL. Two of which stand toe-to-toe on Sunday afternoon, trying to deliver the knockout punch in a highly-contested affair. The 6-1 Detroit Lions opened as -3.5 road chalk versus the 6-2 Green Bay Packers in Week 10. Initially bought up to -4.5, the betting market has taken a firm stance against the Lions, installing the Packers as +2.5 home underdogs for this crucial divisional tilt. While the price on the Lions -2.5 is currently sitting at -120, implying a tremendous amount of ongoing support, we think the value lies in backing the underdog hosts in this one.

Have all the intel you need? Free actionable info is one click away! Sign up for our daily newsletter, SportsGrid Daily.

Where to Watch Lions vs Packers

• Location: Lambeau Field
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET | Where to Watch: Fox, Fubo (Streaming), DAZN (Streaming)
• Spread: Lions -2.5 | Moneyline: Lions -152 | Total: 48.5

Lions vs Packers Best Bet ATS: Packers +2.5

No one can contain or keep pace with Detroit’s offense. The Lions are one of the fiercest units in the NFL, accumulating the fourth-most total yards (406.3) and the most points (33.4). Somehow, they’ve ratcheted their output higher over their more recent schedule. Across its past four games, Detroit is up to 43.0 points, crossing the 42-point mark in all but one of those contests. However, we anticipate a decline in their scoring efficiency over their coming games. Despite putting up a season-best 52 points, the Lions mustered just 225 yards of total offense last week. That puts them on a path with immediate regression, particularly against a Packers’ defense that has stood up well lately. During its four-game winning streak, Green Bay has held its opponents to an average of 315.0 yards per game. Naturally, the Packers have performed better at home, limiting opponents to just 250.0 yards per game over a modest sample size. Still, that puts the Lions at a significant deficit. We’re betting the Packers do enough to keep this within a field goal on Sunday.

Check out SportsGrid’s models NFL Best Bets here.

Lions vs Packers Best Bet Total: Under 48.5

As inferred from the previous analysis, there’s also an edge in backing this one to stay beneath the total. The Lions’ scoring efficiency is out of whack, and a correction phase seems like a formality. But we also don’t expect the Packers to pull away offensively. Green Bay consistently stalls drives and has one of the worst red zone offenses in the NFL. So far this season, they’re coming away with touchdowns on just 50.0% of their red zone possessions. That ranking is tied for the seventh-worst mark in the league, putting the Packers on pace with the lowly New England Patriots. Moreover, Detroit’s defense has performed well this season. They have the eighth-ranked scoring defense and have limited three of their past five opponents to 14 points or fewer. We’re forecasting a classic smashmouth football game that stays below 48.5.

Bengals vs. Giants SNF Best Player Props

Josh Jacobs First Touchdown Scorer +550

An ankle injury cast doubt on Josh Jacobs’s participation this weekend, but the Packers running back appears ready to make an impact against the Lions. As such, we’re backing him as the first touchdown scorer in this NFC North grudge match. Jacobs is on an upward trajectory with his recent efforts. The former All-Pro has tallied 343 yards across his last four outings, averaging 85.5 yards per game and 4.7 yards per carry. More importantly, he’s translated that increased production to scoring. Jacobs has found the endzone four times over that stretch, crossing the plane in all but one of those contests. Jacobs’s anticipated success is supported by a decline in the Lions’ rush defense. Coincidentally, Detroit has struggled to defend the run without Aidan Hutchinson in the lineup. The Tennessee Titans dropped 158 rushing yards on the Lions last week. Likewise, the Minnesota Vikings put up 139 rushing yards the week prior. Consequently, we expect Jacobs to be a significant part of the Packers’ game-planning in Week 10. While you can play it safe by backing him as an anytime touchdown scorer at -125, we think the edge lies in backing Jacobs as the first touchdown scorer at +550.

Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with SportsGrid.