MNF Wild Card Props: Top Picks for Texans vs Steelers
Paul Connor
Host · Writer
The NFL‘s Wild Card Weekend concludes with a massive showdown in the Steel City as the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) host the Houston Texans (12-5).
The Texans, who enter the postseason riding a nine-game win streak, are booked as 3.0-point favorites.
With the spread tight and the stakes high, we’ve dug into the numbers to find the best value on the board. Here are our top player prop picks for this Monday Night Football finale.
Note: All odds and props are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change after the publication of this article.
1. HOU QB C.J. Stroud OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+122)
Houston’s red-zone efficiency has been inconsistent, but its inability to run the ball near the goal line works in Stroud’s favor here. Forced to throw in the red zone, Stroud has tossed seven touchdowns in his last four games. Matched up against a Steelers defense that allowed the fifth-most passing touchdowns during the regular season, the plus-money value here is excellent.
2. HOU RB Nick Chubb OVER 15.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
While Woody Marks has taken over RB1 duties, the Texans are expected to lean on the ground game to neutralize Pittsburgh’s pass rush. Chubb has fresh legs after resting in Week 18, and in a cold-weather playoff game at Acrisure Stadium, his power running style is invaluable. He only needs 2–3 decent carries to clear this very low bar.
Tackle the Odds with SportsGrid’s Expert NFL Game Picks and NFL Player Prop Picks.
3. PIT RB Kenneth Gainwell OVER 5.5 Receptions (+124)
This is arguably the strongest correlation play of the night. The Texans boast the league’s No. 2 pressure rate, which will force Aaron Rodgers to get the ball out immediately. Gainwell, who caught eight passes last week, has been Rodgers’s “safety valve" all season, leading the team with 73 receptions. Even with DK Metcalf returning, Rodgers will likely check it down to Gainwell repeatedly to avoid sacks.
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