NFL Week 15 Predictions | Best Bets to Target for Sunday’s 1:00 p.m. Games

We are officially in the second half of the 2024 NFL season. Division races are heating up, and most teams still have their eyes set on a postseason berth. That continues with a loaded Week 15 schedule. 

We’ve got you covered for betting purposes, highlighting our favorite wagers for this week’s NFL action.

Washington Commanders vs New Orleans Saints

Spread: Commanders -7.5 (-110) | Saints +7.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Commanders -405 | Saints +320
Total: OVER 43.5 (-105) | UNDER 43.5 (-115)

The New Orleans Saints head into Week 15 without their starting quarterback, Derek Carr. The four-time Pro Bowler has been ruled out for Sunday, meaning Jake Haener is taking over under center. The rookie quarterback had yet to start under center, but from what we’ve seen in limited action, Haener should have no problem getting the Saints moving against the high-octane Washington Commanders. 

When Carr went down with an injury earlier in the campaign, New Orleans struggled to produce offensively. However, their most productive drives always came with Haener pulling the trigger. The 25-year-old averages a team-best 12.5 yards per completion and has one touchdown on 29 pass attempts in mop-up duty. With Taysom Hill offering some insurance in different schemes, the Saints should be able to move the ball easily against the Commanders’ defense. 

Still, keeping pace with the Jayden Daniels-led offense won’t be enough. Washington averages the fourth-most yards in the NFL, equalling 28.9 points per game, also the fourth-most. Naturally, that’s translated to some high-scoring affairs. The Commanders have gone over the total in three of their past four and five of six road games this season. 

We’re banking on those ‘over’ trends continuing in Week 15, with Haener doing enough to get this inter-divisional showdown over 43.5.

Recommended Play: Over 43.5 

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Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers

Spread: Cowboys +2.5 (+100) | Panthers -2.5 (-122)
Moneyline: Cowboys -128 | Panthers -152
Total: OVER 42.5 (-120) | UNDER 42.5 (-102)

The Carolina Panthers have been on the losing end of some tough decisions lately. They were a dropped pass away from pulling off a stunning upset last week, losing their two prior games on game-ending field goals. However, Week 15 should put an end to that unfortunate streak. We’re planting our flag in the Panthers, covering the spread versus the visiting Dallas Cowboys on Sunday.

Offensively, the Panthers have looked vastly superior over their recent schedule. Across their past three games, the Panthers have been averaging 334.3 yards per game, which is over 40 yards better than their season-long average. As expected, that’s driven scoring up by four points per game. 

Conversely, the Cowboys’ offense has stagnated with Cooper Rush under center. Dallas is averaging 323.7 yards per game over its recent schedule, which is on par with its season-long average. Moreover, they continue to be plagued by the same defensive issues that have limited them all year. 

Carolina is finding its footing, and that’s reflected in the spread. The Panthers are favorites for the first time this season. After covering the spread in five straight, we expect them to produce more tangible results on Sunday. Backing the Panthers as short home chalk is the side to be on.

Recommended Play: Panthers -2.5 -120

New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Spread: Jets -3.5 (-102) | Jaguars +3.5 (-120)
Moneyline: Jets -168 | Jaguars +142
Total: OVER 40.5 (-105) | UNDER 40.5 (-115)

People need to stop betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars. The AFC South also-rans come up short week after week, and that’s unlikely to change in Week 15 as they take on the New York Jets. Jacksonville enters the contest as +3.5 home underdogs, but that number is probably still out of reach for the lowly Jags. 

There aren’t any teams worse at defending than the Jaguars. Jacksonville allows the most yards per game, giving up a whopping 396.1 per game. Worse, that number has taken a hit over their more recent schedule. Opponents are up to 414.3 over the Jags’ last three, translating to 27.0 points per game. Further, their offense also operates at a deficit without Trevor Lawrence in the lineup. 

The results haven’t gone the Jets’ way, but they remain one of the most imposing defensive teams in the league. New York gives up the fourth-fewest yards per game, significantly better than its 20th-ranked scoring defense. Expect those metrics to balance out over the final week weeks of the season, with opponents having a more challenging time scoring on New York’s stout defense. 

For some reason, many bettors are getting a piece of the Jags; however, that appears to be misplaced confidence. New York is the better team on both sides of the football, and we don’t think Jacksonville can keep pace. We’re using this spot to back the Jets at a diminished price.

Recommended Play: Jets -3.5 -102

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