NFL · 2 hours ago

Predicting the 2026 Super Bowl: Kalshi’s 8 Most Likely Matchups

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

1) New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks — 14% Most Likely
- The New England Patriots, under head coach Mike Vrabel, have re-emerged as a playoff force with a high-powered offense led by Drake Maye and an improved supporting cast.
- Seattle sits atop the NFC with a well-rounded roster featuring quarterback Sam Darnold and a defense capable of controlling the tempo.
- Patriots’ controlled, efficient attack versus the Seahawks’ explosive playmaking creates a compelling theoretical Super Bowl matchup.
Implied Super Bowl Odds: 14%
8) Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Rams — 7% Likely
- The Houston Texans' rise has been driven by defensive improvement and efficient quarterback play.
- The Los Angeles Rams' ability to score in bunches keeps pressure on opponents to avoid slow starts.
- This matchup reflects a newer AFC contender against an established NFC postseason presence.
Implied Super Bowl Odds: 7%
7) Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams — 7% Likely
- The Denver Broncos defensive identity contrasts sharply with Los Angeles’ spacing and timing-based offense.
- Both teams have proven capable of winning tight postseason games against quality opponents.
- This pairing represents a lower-probability outcome with high stylistic contrast.
Implied Super Bowl Odds: 7%
6) Houston Texans vs Seattle Seahawks — 9% Likely
- Houston’s emergence has been driven by a young quarterback core and a defense that has improved markedly in high-leverage situations.
- The Seattle Seahawks' balanced roster and ability to generate explosive plays keep them firmly in the NFC title picture.
- This matchup highlights a rising AFC contender against a Seahawks team built to control tempo and capitalize on mistakes.
Implied Super Bowl Odds: 9%
5) Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams — 10% Likely
- The Buffalo Bills' Super Bowl case continues to revolve around Josh Allen’s ability to take over games late.
- The Rams’ offensive versatility and postseason experience keep them firmly in the NFC mix.
- This matchup would feature two teams comfortable leaning on their quarterbacks when margins shrink.
Implied Super Bowl Odds: 10%
4) New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams — 11% Likely
- New England’s postseason profile centers on discipline, field position, and minimizing mistakes.
- The Rams bring a veteran quarterback presence and an offense capable of flipping games quickly.
- Structure versus creativity would define this Super Bowl matchup.
Implied Super Bowl Odds: 11%
3) Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks — 12% Likely
- Denver’s resurgence has been driven by defensive stability and improved quarterback play in high-leverage situations.
- Seattle’s ability to generate chunk plays places constant pressure on opposing defenses.
- This matchup highlights a defense-first AFC contender against a tempo-driven NFC power.
Implied Super Bowl Odds: 12%
2) Buffalo Bills vs Seattle Seahawks — 12% Likely
- Buffalo remains one of the AFC’s most consistent contenders behind Josh Allen’s dual-threat ability and playoff-tested roster.
- Seattle’s balanced offense and depth across skill positions keep them firmly in Super Bowl conversations.
- Experience versus explosiveness defines this potential championship clash.
Implied Super Bowl Odds: 12%
1) New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks — 14% Most Likely
- The New England Patriots, under head coach Mike Vrabel, have re-emerged as a playoff force with a high-powered offense led by Drake Maye and an improved supporting cast.
- Seattle sits atop the NFC with a well-rounded roster featuring quarterback Sam Darnold and a defense capable of controlling the tempo.
- Patriots’ controlled, efficient attack versus the Seahawks’ explosive playmaking creates a compelling theoretical Super Bowl matchup.
Implied Super Bowl Odds: 14%
8) Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Rams — 7% Likely
- The Houston Texans' rise has been driven by defensive improvement and efficient quarterback play.
- The Los Angeles Rams' ability to score in bunches keeps pressure on opponents to avoid slow starts.
- This matchup reflects a newer AFC contender against an established NFC postseason presence.
Implied Super Bowl Odds: 7%