Vikings vs Rams MNF: 6 Favorite NFL Anytime Touchdown Best Bets

 The Minnesota Vikings and Los Angeles Rams will meet on Monday Night Football to close out Wild Card weekend.

Here are the top touchdown bets you should back and which to avoid.

How to Approach Kyren Williams (-140)

Kyren Williams is the most likely player to find the endzone on Monday night as he’s combined for 16 touchdowns on the year, but is he worth the -140 price? We think so, as after a mid-season dip in touchdown production, he’s found the endzone six times across the past six games and combined for 28 touches earlier in the season against the Vikings. At -140, it isn’t the worst price to lay straight up, but for a +105 parlay instead, add in for him to rush for 60 yards, as he’s done in 13 of his last 14 games. 

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Puka Nacua (-105) or Cooper Kupp (+175) 

When the Rams’ offense has been operating at full strength, Puka Nacua has separated himself from Cooper Kupp as the top option through the air for Matthew Stafford, but where should we turn to for a touchdown? I find difficulty backing Nacua at -105, given that he only has three touchdowns on the season, but he feels due to score given his target upside. However, if I compare our Williams TD parlay with him running for at least 60 yards at +105, I feel far more confident than laying -105 on Nacua. On the contrary, given his late production dip, I struggle with how to view Kupp. Given the playoff stakes, part of me feels like Stafford will regain some trust in him. Plus, at a +175 price, I don’t remember ever seeing a better price on Kupp than what we’re getting.

Rams Longshot Value

Beyond Williams, Nacua, and Kupp, there isn’t much value to be had within the Rams’ offense, but two guys in particular are worth some value as a longshot touchdown bet. First, Demarcus Robinson has seen a production dip in recent weeks but had a two-touchdown game earlier this season against the Vikings. Given the decrease in production, I wish we were getting a better price than +330, but that two-touchdown performance cannot be ignored. Additionally, I can’t ignore the presence of Tyler Higbee again. He has always been a factor in this passing game when fully healthy. At +500 to score, the unknown element is enticing.

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Justin Jefferson (-105) or Jordan Addison (+145)?

At -105, not much explanation needs to be made as to why Justin Jefferson is a worthwhile touchdown bet. He’s a top-three wide receiver on the planet who has ten touchdowns on the season, so not much convincing needs to be done with the expectation that this will be a high-scoring game. The question remains whether we should also be backing Jordan Addison at +145. He has the same amount of touchdowns, but I think Addison is primed to have a huge game. Addison’s +145 price is as sweet as it gets.

Fade: Aaron Jones (+125)

I struggle to find value in Aaron Jones finding the endzone. While he has combined for seven touchdowns on the season, making +125 a respectable price, the Rams boast a stronger front seven compared to a weaker secondary. I expect the Vikings to want to win by throwing the ball, so I find value in Jefferson and Addison over Jones.

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Longshot: Josh Oliver (+1100)

Looking back to the Week 8 Thursday Night Football clash between the Rams and Vikings, we correctly touted Josh Oliver to find the endzone at +1100. We’re doing it again with the same expectation. Watching the Vikings play, it always feels like when they are down by the goal line, he comes off a block and is open for a short reception should Darnold throw it this way. He’s managed to score three times this season like that, so at +1100, we love that we’re still getting that price.

All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook