Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
Diamondbacks @ Phillies – First Pitch: 6:40 p.m.
In the City of Brotherly Love, the Arizona Diamondbacks are set to play against the Philadelphia Phillies in what could be a high-scoring affair. For the Diamondbacks, Ryne Nelson will be taking the mound, while the Phillies will open the game with Matt Strahm, who is expected to pass the reins to Dylan Covey as the game progresses. This strategy suggests a potential bullpen game by Philadelphia. Despite this unconventional approach, the Phillies remain the favorite with a -155 price point, while the total for the game is listed at 9.5.
Nelson’s performance has been shaky this season, making it a decent spot for the Phillies to bounce back. Looking at his last month’s performance, he has a 5.4 xFIP and a strikeout percentage of around 16% – figures that don’t inspire confidence. While he has managed to hold his own against right-handed batters, his stats against left-handed hitters tell a different story. With a weighted on-base percentage of .420 and an ISO of .228 against lefties, Nelson could be in for a tough time against the Phillies’ potent left-handed bats.
The Phillies lineup, featuring Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, and Brandon Marsh, boasts significant power options from the left side, providing them an opportunity to cause considerable damage. This particular matchup, combined with the overall shaky pitching situation for both teams, sets the stage for a potential high-scoring game.
This game between the Diamondbacks and the Phillies offers an intriguing prospect for fans and bettors alike. Nelson’s struggles against left-handed batters and the Phillies’ power-packed lineup set the stage for a potentially high-scoring game, making this an exciting matchup to watch out for.
Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 | -163 | O 9.5 | -109 | +114 | Open |
| -152 | 9.5 | -103 | +133 | Current | ||
| Phillies | -1.5 | +138 | U 9.5 | -111 | -134 | Open |
| +129 | 9.5 | -117 | -155 | Current | ||
Projected Lineups:
Diamondbacks
Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson: 1-2, 5.48 ERA, 6.26 K/9
| 1. | 2B | Ketel Marte | .277, 6 HR, 19 RBI |
| 2. | DH | Emmanuel Rivera | .321, 1 HR, 7 RBI |
| 3. | LF | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | .321, 8 HR, 27 RBI |
| 4. | 1B | Christian Walker | .259, 11 HR, 34 RBI |
| 5. | 3B | Evan Longoria | .210, 5 HR, 8 RBI |
| 6. | CF | Corbin Carroll | .275, 7 HR, 16 RBI |
| 7. | SS | Nick Ahmed | .253, 1 HR, 10 RBI |
| 8. | C | Gabriel Moreno | .301, 1 HR, 17 RBI |
| 9. | RF | Dominic Fletcher | .338, 2 HR, 13 RBI |
Phillies
Starting Pitcher: Matt Strahm: 4-3, 2.73 ERA, 12.82 K/9
| 1. | 2B | Bryson Stott | .289, 5 HR, 19 RBI |
| 2. | SS | Trea Turner | .256, 4 HR, 11 RBI |
| 3. | DH | Bryce Harper | .312, 2 HR, 6 RBI |
| 4. | RF | Nick Castellanos | .295, 5 HR, 26 RBI |
| 5. | LF | Kyle Schwarber | .177, 12 HR, 24 RBI |
| 6. | C | J.T. Realmuto | .276, 3 HR, 17 RBI |
| 7. | 1B | Alec Bohm | .257, 5 HR, 32 RBI |
| 8. | CF | Brandon Marsh | .262, 4 HR, 16 RBI |
| 9. | 3B | Edmundo Sosa | .280, 3 HR, 11 RBI |
Betting Insights:
Diamondbacks
- The over hit in 3 of the Arizona Diamondbacks last 5 games on the road in 2023
Phillies
- The over hit in 3 of the Philadelphia Phillies last 5 games at home in 2023
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