Baker Mayfield Prop: Warren Sharp Backs This Play in Bucs-Lions Matchup
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
The world of NFL prop bets continually offers thrilling opportunities, and this weekend’s game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Detroit Lions featuring Baker Mayfield is no exception. SportsGrid’s renowned analyst Warren Sharp shares his insights, focusing on Mayfield’s performance as he leads his team into Motown.
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Sharp confidently backs a bet on Mayfield’s passing yards going over 255.5. The reasoning behind this choice is grounded in recent statistics and game strategy.
“I’m going to go over. I like Baker Mayfield over his passing yards, and I think the logic makes sense over 255.5 passing yards," Sharp asserts. He backs this up with compelling data: “Since Week 7, he’s gone over in the passing prop in nine of 13 games." This trend is even more pronounced when considering Mayfield’s performances outside his division. “He’s 8-1 to the over in his last nine games played outside of his division," Sharp points out.
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Analyzing the competition provides further support for this bet. “Think about the division he’s going up against," Sharp continues, noting the offensive weaknesses of teams like the Carolina Panthers and the Atlanta Falcons. This context, combined with the fact that “They are 6.5 point underdogs," suggests a game plan heavily reliant on passing.
Furthermore, the opponent’s defensive strengths play into this strategy. “They’re finally going up against a defense that’s really stout against the run," Sharp observes. He parallels the recent strategy against the Philadelphia Eagles, where the Bucs opted for a pass-heavy approach despite the Eagles’ vulnerability to the run.
“I think they packed that up from Tampa, take it to Detroit," Sharp speculates. “Come out, Baker has to throw the ball a lot in this game." This expectation firmly positions the over on Baker Mayfield’s passing yards as a promising bet.
Sharp’s detailed analysis, combining recent performance trends, divisional dynamics, and strategic considerations, paints a clear picture: betting Baker Mayfield to exceed 255.5 passing yards is a well-founded and intriguing proposition for this weekend’s NFL action.
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