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MLB · 3 weeks ago

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Dodgers @ Brewers – First Pitch: 1:40 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Clear Sky, 68°
 

The Los Angeles Dodgers are all set to battle the Milwaukee Brewers in an afternoon game scheduled for a 1:40 start. Today’s spotlight is on Clayton Kershaw, who’s set to pitch against Wade Miley. The Dodgers are the road favorites with a -169 price, and the game’s total currently sits at eight.

Kershaw has maintained his excellent form this season. The question on everyone’s mind is whether his impressive run will continue today. Based on his current form, it’s likely that he’ll keep up his exceptional performance.

On the other side, Miley has been a significant asset for the Brewers, allowing two runs or fewer in four of his six starts this season. His consistent performance has largely contributed to the team’s success, making him a player to watch in this game. Given these two pitchers’ current form, this game might be a spot to lean on the under.

Looking into Miley’s stats, despite having a high xFIP at 5.39, his weighted on-base average is excellent, standing at .235 for lefties and .262 for righties. This indicates a strong performance that contradicts his high xFIP, showing that analytics can sometimes present a contrasting picture.

Switching back to Kershaw, he boasts a 3.42 xFIP and shows dominance against both lefties and righties. His weighted on-base percentages are .245 and .259 for lefties and righties, respectively, suggesting we might see fewer runs than expected.

However, there’s a looming concern regarding Kershaw’s availability for the Dodgers’ postseason run. It’s essential not to overstretch him during the season’s early months, a factor that LA will need to consider carefully.

 

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

  Spread Total Moneyline  
 Dodgers -1.5  -109  O 8  -111  -172  Open
-101  -106  -169  Current
 Brewers +1.5   -110  U 8  -109  +148  Open
 -118   -114  +144  Current

Projected Lineups:

Dodgers

Starting Pitcher: Clayton Kershaw: 5-2, 2.53 ERA, 10.13 K/9

1. RF  Mookie Betts   .254, 7 HR, 20 RBI
2. 1B  Freddie Freeman   .286, 5 HR, 14 RBI
3. DH  Will Smith   .329, 5 HR, 18 RBI
4. 3B  Chris Taylor   .207, 7 HR, 17 RBI
5. 2B  Miguel Vargas   .220, 3 HR, 17 RBI
6. CF  James Outman   .274, 8 HR, 23 RBI
7. SS  Miguel Rojas   .170, 0 HR, 1 RBI
8. LF  Trayce Thompson   .132, 4 HR, 11 RBI
9. C  Austin Barnes   .115, 0 HR, 5 RBI

 

Brewers

Starting Pitcher: Wade Miley: 3-1, 2.31 ERA, 5.40 K/9

1. 2B  Owen Miller   .291, 0 HR, 5 RBI
2. C  William Contreras   .277, 2 HR, 10 RBI
3. SS  Willy Adames   .229, 7 HR, 23 RBI
4. LF  Christian Yelich   .244, 4 HR, 16 RBI
5. DH  Mike Brosseau   .216, 3 HR, 7 RBI
6. 3B  Brian Anderson   .244, 5 HR, 20 RBI
7. 1B  Luke Voit   .217, 0 HR, 4 RBI
8. RF  Tyrone Taylor   .231, 1 HR, 2 RBI
9. CF  Joey Wiemer   .215, 3 HR, 11 RBI

Betting Insights:

Dodgers

  • The over hit in 1 of the Los Angeles Dodgers last 5 games on the road in 2023
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers are 2-3 (.400) on the road as a favorite in their last five games in 2023

Brewers

  • The over hit in 2 of the Milwaukee Brewers last 5 games at home in 2023

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